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Live 11 UTC
Senegal Ligue 1 Round 3 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
PikineHomeLDD
1:1Half-time 1:1
TeunguethAwayLLD
283537
Pikine winDrawTeungueth win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
1.59
0.72 : 0.87
Favourite
37%
Teungueth
Over 2.5 goals
21%
model chance
Both teams to score
30%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Pikine vs Teungueth

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

72%

Our prediction

Teungueth or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.72 : 0.87
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
70% chance1.42fairLost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
47% chance2.12fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
20% chance4.90fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
28% chance3.62fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
51% chance1.96fairWon

Pikine vs Teungueth prediction

Our Pikine vs Teungueth prediction and pick

Pikine vs Teungueth prediction for the Senegal Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Teungueth marginally ahead at 37%, with the draw at 35% and Pikine at 28%.

Expected goals are 0.72 for Pikine and 0.87 for Teungueth, a total of 1.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams to score at 30%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is teungueth or draw at 72%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Pikine have won 0 of their last 3 with 1 scored and 4 conceded, Teungueth 0 of 3 scoring 1 and conceding 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pikine vs Teungueth

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 47%, over 2.5 at 21%, over 3.5 at 8%; under 2.5 is 79% and under 3.5 is 92%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 79%.

Both teams to score is 30%: Pikine find the net in 51% of simulated matches and Teungueth in 58%. Pikine keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Teungueth 49%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pikine vs Teungueth: 0-0 (20.4%), 0-1 (17.7%) and 1-0 (14.7%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 51%.

All markets, Pikine vs Teungueth

The grid built from 0.72 and 0.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Pikine to win28%fair 3.60
Draw35%fair 2.83
Teungueth to win37%fair 2.71
Pikine, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
Teungueth, draw no bet57%fair 1.75

Double chance

Pikine or draw63%fair 1.58
Teungueth or draw72%fair 1.39
Pikine or Teungueth (no draw)65%fair 1.55

Goals

Over 0.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Over 2.5 goals21%fair 4.67
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 12.99
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 43.48
Under 1.5 goals53%fair 1.89
Under 2.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.08

BTTS

Both teams to score30%fair 3.37
Not both teams to score70%fair 1.42

Halves

First-half goal51%fair 1.96
Over 1.5 first-half goals16%fair 6.21
Second-half goal58%fair 1.72

Team goals

Pikine to score51%fair 1.95
Teungueth to score58%fair 1.72
Pikine clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Teungueth clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Pikine to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Teungueth to win to nil34%fair 2.95

Odd or even

Odd number of goals48%fair 2.09
Even number of goals52%fair 1.92

Most likely scores

0-020.4%
0-117.7%
1-014.7%
1-112.8%
0-27.7%
1-25.6%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw27.6%
Teungueth / Teungueth20.2%
Draw / Teungueth15.4%
Pikine / Pikine15%
Draw / Pikine12.2%

Questions about Pikine vs Teungueth

Pikine or Teungueth: which side does the model back?

The model gives Teungueth the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Pikine vs Teungueth correct score: what does the model say?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 20.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 21% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Pikine vs Teungueth?

The BTTS yes line is rated 30%. Pikine find the net in 51% of simulated matches and Teungueth in 58%.

What time does Pikine vs Teungueth kick off?

Pikine vs Teungueth starts at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Pikine v TeunguethTeungueth or draw, 72%
1.39fair