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Live 11 UTC
Senegal Ligue 1 Round 3 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
GuédiawayeHomeWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Casa SportAwayDLD
393427
Guédiawaye winDrawCasa Sport win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
1.76
0.98 : 0.78
Favourite
39%
Guédiawaye
Over 2.5 goals
25%
model chance
Both teams to score
36%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
BC.Game2.422.643.25----Bet
Betwinner2.462.743.353.131.342.641.45Bet
Melbet2.462.743.353.131.342.641.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Guédiawaye to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport are 2.46 for Guédiawaye at Melbet, 2.74 for the draw at Melbet and 3.35 for Casa Sport at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 3.13 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.34 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.64 (Melbet) and no 1.45 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

Guédiawaye or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.98 : 0.78-5.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
75% chance1.34
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.45Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
53% chance1.90fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
17% chance5.81fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
25% chance4.02fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
55% chance1.83fairLost

Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport odds movement

Guédiawaye win2.46unchanged
Draw2.74-0.01
Casa Sport win3.35unchanged
Over 2.5 goals3.13-0.12
Under 2.5 goals1.34unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport prediction

Our Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport prediction and pick

Guédiawaye are marginally ahead in the Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport prediction, rated 39% to win this Senegal Ligue 1 match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Casa Sport sit at 27% and the draw at 34%.

Guédiawaye are expected to score 0.98 and Casa Sport 0.78, so the total line is 1.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 25% and BTTS at 36%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Guédiawaye or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 3 matches Guédiawaye stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Casa Sport show 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 3.

A low-scoring Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 75% and under 3.5 90%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 53% and over 2.5 at 25%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.34 at Betwinner.

BTTS yes stands at 36%. Guédiawaye score in 63% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Casa Sport; Casa Sport score in 54% while Guédiawaye shut them out 46% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 0-0 leads at 17.2%, then 1-0 at 16.9% and 0-1 at 13.4%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 55%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Guédiawaye to win39%2.46
Draw34%2.74
Casa Sport to win27%3.35
Guédiawaye, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Casa Sport, draw no bet41%fair 2.42

Double chance

Guédiawaye or draw73%1.30
Casa Sport or draw61%1.51
Guédiawaye or Casa Sport (no draw)66%1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Over 2.5 goals25%3.13
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 29.41
Under 1.5 goals48%fair 2.11
Under 2.5 goals75%1.34
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11

BTTS

Both teams to score36%2.64
Not both teams to score64%1.45

Halves

First-half goal55%fair 1.83
Over 1.5 first-half goals19%fair 5.32
Second-half goal62%fair 1.61

Team goals

Guédiawaye to score63%fair 1.60
Casa Sport to score54%fair 1.85
Guédiawaye clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Casa Sport clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Guédiawaye to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Casa Sport to win to nil25%fair 3.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.06
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94

Most likely scores

0-017.2%
1-016.9%
0-113.4%
1-113.2%
2-08.3%
2-16.4%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw24.9%
Guédiawaye / Guédiawaye21.9%
Draw / Guédiawaye15.8%
Casa Sport / Casa Sport15.1%
Draw / Casa Sport11.9%

Questions about Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport

Who is favourite in Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport?

The model gives Guédiawaye the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 25%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport?

The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Guédiawaye find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Casa Sport in 54%.

When is Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Guédiawaye v Casa SportGuédiawaye or draw, 73%
1.30Bet