GuédiawayeHomeWDD
Casa SportAwayDLD
GuédiawayeHomeWDD
Casa SportAwayDLD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 2.64 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | Bet | |
| 2.46 | 2.74 | 3.35 | 3.13 | 1.34 | 2.64 | 1.45 | Bet | |
| 2.46 | 2.74 | 3.35 | 3.13 | 1.34 | 2.64 | 1.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport are 2.46 for Guédiawaye at Melbet, 2.74 for the draw at Melbet and 3.35 for Casa Sport at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 3.13 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.34 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.64 (Melbet) and no 1.45 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Guédiawaye are marginally ahead in the Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport prediction, rated 39% to win this Senegal Ligue 1 match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Casa Sport sit at 27% and the draw at 34%.
Guédiawaye are expected to score 0.98 and Casa Sport 0.78, so the total line is 1.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 25% and BTTS at 36%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Guédiawaye or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 3 matches Guédiawaye stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Casa Sport show 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 3.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 75% and under 3.5 90%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 53% and over 2.5 at 25%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.34 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 36%. Guédiawaye score in 63% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Casa Sport; Casa Sport score in 54% while Guédiawaye shut them out 46% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 17.2%, then 1-0 at 16.9% and 0-1 at 13.4%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 55%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Guédiawaye the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 25%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Guédiawaye find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Casa Sport in 54%.
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.