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Live 11 UTC
Senegal Ligue 1 Round 3 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
JaraafHomeDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Wally DaanAwayDWL
433324
Jaraaf winDrawWally Daan win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
1.79
1.06 : 0.73
Favourite
43%
Jaraaf
Over 2.5 goals
26%
model chance
Both teams to score
35%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Jaraaf vs Wally Daan odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.152.703.663.081.282.461.46Bet
22Bet2.242.813.753.331.302.771.41Bet
BC.Game2.182.743.60----Bet
Betwinner2.242.813.753.331.302.771.41Bet
Melbet2.242.813.753.331.302.771.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Jaraaf to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Jaraaf price at 2.24, 22Bet lead the draw at 2.81 and 22Bet have Wally Daan longest at 3.75.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 3.33 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.30 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.77 (22Bet) and no 1.46 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Jaraaf or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 1.06 : 0.73-5.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
74% chance1.30
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.46Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
53% chance1.87fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.65fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Jaraaf, full-time Jaraaf
24% chance4.10fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
55% chance1.81fairLost

Jaraaf vs Wally Daan odds movement

Jaraaf win2.24unchanged
Draw2.81unchanged
Wally Daan win3.75unchanged
Over 2.5 goals3.33unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.30-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Jaraaf vs Wally Daan prediction

Our Jaraaf vs Wally Daan prediction and pick

Jaraaf host Wally Daan on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Senegal Ligue 1, and the model has Jaraaf at 43%, the draw at 33% and Wally Daan at 24%: that is the Jaraaf vs Wally Daan prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.06 for Jaraaf and 0.73 for Wally Daan, a total of 1.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 35%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Jaraaf or draw is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 22Bet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Jaraaf average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded across their last 3, Wally Daan 0.7 and 0.3 across 3.

A low-scoring Jaraaf vs Wally Daan? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 53%, over 2.5 at 26%, over 3.5 at 11%; under 2.5 is 74% and under 3.5 is 89%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; 22Bet pay 1.30.

Both teams to score is 35%: Jaraaf find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Wally Daan in 52%. Jaraaf keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and Wally Daan 35%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 17.7%, followed by 0-0 (16.7%) and 1-1 (12.9%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Jaraaf, full-time Jaraaf is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 55%.

All markets, Jaraaf vs Wally Daan

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 33% / 24% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Jaraaf to win43%2.24
Draw33%2.81
Wally Daan to win24%3.75
Jaraaf, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Wally Daan, draw no bet36%fair 2.75

Double chance

Jaraaf or draw76%1.25
Wally Daan or draw58%1.61
Jaraaf or Wally Daan (no draw)67%1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 goals53%fair 1.87
Over 2.5 goals26%3.33
Over 3.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 27.78
Under 1.5 goals47%fair 2.15
Under 2.5 goals74%1.30
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.12

BTTS

Both teams to score35%2.77
Not both teams to score65%1.46

Halves

First-half goal55%fair 1.81
Over 1.5 first-half goals19%fair 5.18
Second-half goal63%fair 1.60

Team goals

Jaraaf to score65%fair 1.53
Wally Daan to score52%fair 1.93
Jaraaf clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Wally Daan clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Jaraaf to win to nil39%fair 2.56
Wally Daan to win to nil22%fair 4.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.06
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

1-017.7%
0-016.7%
1-112.9%
0-112.2%
2-09.4%
2-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Jaraaf / Jaraaf24.4%
Draw / Draw24.2%
Draw / Jaraaf17.1%
Wally Daan / Wally Daan13.3%
Draw / Wally Daan10.7%

Questions about Jaraaf vs Wally Daan

Who will win Jaraaf vs Wally Daan?

The model gives Jaraaf the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Jaraaf vs Wally Daan?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 26%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Jaraaf vs Wally Daan both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Jaraaf find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Wally Daan in 52%.

When is Jaraaf vs Wally Daan and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Jaraaf v Wally DaanJaraaf or draw, 76%
1.25Bet