Senegal Ligue 1
PikineHomeLDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
EssamayeAwayLD343234
Pikine winDrawEssamaye win
PikineHomeLDDEssamayeAwayLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.95 0.97 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 34% Essamaye
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Pikine vs Essamaye odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.71 | 3.02 | 2.71 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.64 | 1.45 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.68 | 2.88 | 2.64 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.64 | 2.83 | 2.56 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.18 | 1.58 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.64 | 2.83 | 2.56 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.18 | 1.58 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Essamaye to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Pikine vs Essamaye are 2.71 for Pikine at 22Bet, 3.02 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.71 for Essamaye at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.82 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.40 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.64 (22Bet) and no 1.58 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Pikine or Essamaye (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.72fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
14% chance7.04fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
22% chance4.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.71fair
Pikine vs Essamaye prediction
Pikine vs Essamaye prediction, who wins and at what price
The Pikine vs Essamaye prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Senegal Ligue 1 on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Pikine a 34% chance, Essamaye 34% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 0.97 for Pikine and 0.98 for Essamaye, a total of 1.95, which puts over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 40%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is pikine or Essamaye (no draw) at 69%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Pikine vs Essamaye.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
A low-scoring Pikine vs Essamaye? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 70% and under 3.5 87%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 58% and over 2.5 at 30%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.40 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 40%: Pikine find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Essamaye in 63%. Pikine keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Essamaye 38%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 14.2%, followed by 0-1 (13.9%) and 1-0 (13.8%).
With the top scoreline at 14.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Pikine vs Essamaye; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Pikine vs Essamaye
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 32% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Pikine to win34%2.71
Draw32%3.02
Essamaye to win34%2.71
Pikine, draw no bet50%fair 2.01
Essamaye, draw no bet50%fair 1.99
Double chance
Pikine or draw66%1.43
Essamaye or draw66%1.43
Pikine or Essamaye (no draw)69%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Over 2.5 goals30%2.82
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 20.83
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.38
Under 2.5 goals70%1.40
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score40%2.64
Not both teams to score60%1.58
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.71
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.57
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52
Team goals
Pikine to score62%fair 1.61
Essamaye to score63%fair 1.60
Pikine clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Essamaye clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Pikine to win to nil31%fair 3.18
Essamaye to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-014.2%
0-113.9%
1-013.8%
1-113.5%
0-26.8%
2-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.4%
Essamaye / Essamaye19.4%
Pikine / Pikine19%
Draw / Essamaye13.9%
Draw / Pikine13.7%
Questions about Pikine vs Essamaye
Who will win Pikine vs Essamaye?
The model gives Essamaye the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Pikine vs Essamaye?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 30% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Pikine vs Essamaye?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Pikine find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Essamaye in 63%.
When do Pikine play Essamaye?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.