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Live 20 UTC
Senegal Ligue 1 Round 3 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
AJELHomeDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
DiambarsAwayWLD
423325
AJEL winDrawDiambars win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
1.76
1.04 : 0.72
Favourite
42%
AJEL
Over 2.5 goals
25%
model chance
Both teams to score
36%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

AJEL vs Diambars odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.162.703.633.041.292.441.47Bet
22Bet2.242.813.753.131.342.771.41Bet
BC.Game2.222.683.65----Bet
Betwinner2.242.813.753.131.342.771.41Bet
Melbet2.242.813.753.131.342.771.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AJEL to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the AJEL vs Diambars prediction: AJEL 2.24 (22Bet), draw 2.81 (22Bet), Diambars 3.75 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 3.13 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.34 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.77 (22Bet) and no 1.47 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

AJEL or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 1.04 : 0.72-5.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
75% chance1.34
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.47Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
53% chance1.90fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.59fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
25% chance4.05fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
55% chance1.83fairLost

AJEL vs Diambars odds movement

AJEL win2.24unchanged
Draw2.81unchanged
Diambars win3.75unchanged
Over 2.5 goals3.13-0.12
Under 2.5 goals1.34unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

AJEL vs Diambars prediction

AJEL vs Diambars prediction, who wins and at what price

The AJEL vs Diambars prediction leans to AJEL: 42% against 24% for Diambars, with 33% left for the draw, in the Senegal Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 1.76 in total, split 1.04 to AJEL and 0.72 to Diambars. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 25% and both teams to score 36%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

AJEL or draw is the main selection, rated 76%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AJEL vs Diambars.

The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

AJEL average 0.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded across their last 3, Diambars 0.3 and 0.3 across 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in AJEL vs Diambars

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 53%, over 2.5 at 25%, over 3.5 at 10%; under 2.5 is 75% and under 3.5 is 90%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.34 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 36%. AJEL score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Diambars; Diambars score in 51% while AJEL shut them out 49% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for AJEL vs Diambars: 1-0 (17.9%), 0-0 (17.2%) and 1-1 (12.9%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 55%.

Every market for AJEL vs Diambars

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AJEL vs Diambars, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

AJEL to win42%2.24
Draw33%2.81
Diambars to win24%3.75
AJEL, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Diambars, draw no bet36%fair 2.75

Double chance

AJEL or draw76%1.25
Diambars or draw58%1.61
AJEL or Diambars (no draw)67%1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Over 2.5 goals25%3.13
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 29.41
Under 1.5 goals48%fair 2.11
Under 2.5 goals75%1.34
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11

BTTS

Both teams to score36%2.77
Not both teams to score64%1.47

Halves

First-half goal55%fair 1.83
Over 1.5 first-half goals19%fair 5.32
Second-half goal62%fair 1.61

Team goals

AJEL to score65%fair 1.55
Diambars to score51%fair 1.95
AJEL clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Diambars clean sheet35%fair 2.83
AJEL to win to nil39%fair 2.56
Diambars to win to nil22%fair 4.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.06
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94

Most likely scores

1-017.9%
0-017.2%
1-112.9%
0-112.4%
2-09.3%
2-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw24.7%
AJEL / AJEL24.1%
Draw / AJEL17%
Diambars / Diambars13.3%
Draw / Diambars10.7%

Questions about AJEL vs Diambars

AJEL or Diambars: which side does the model back?

The model gives AJEL the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for AJEL vs Diambars?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 25% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in AJEL vs Diambars?

The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. AJEL find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Diambars in 51%.

When do AJEL play Diambars?

AJEL vs Diambars starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, AJEL v DiambarsAJEL or draw, 76%
1.25Bet