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Live 23 UTC
Senegal Ligue 1 Round 2 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
OuakamHomeL
1:3Half-time 1:1
JaraafAwayDWW
393427
Ouakam winDrawJaraaf win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
1.85
1.03 : 0.82
Favourite
39%
Ouakam
Over 2.5 goals
28%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Ouakam vs Jaraaf betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.362.883.352.971.372.641.45Bet
BC.Game2.422.643.25----Bet
Betwinner2.382.653.222.831.332.271.54Bet
Melbet2.362.883.352.971.372.641.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ouakam to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Ouakam vs Jaraaf prediction: Ouakam 2.42 (BC.Game), draw 2.88 (Melbet), Jaraaf 3.35 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.37 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.64 (Melbet) and no 1.54 (Betwinner).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Ouakam or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 0.82-5.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair

Ouakam vs Jaraaf prediction

Ouakam vs Jaraaf prediction, who wins and at what price

Ouakam are marginally ahead in the Ouakam vs Jaraaf prediction, rated 39% to win this Senegal Ligue 1 match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Jaraaf sit at 27% and the draw at 34%.

The goal expectancy is 1.85 in total, split 1.03 to Ouakam and 0.82 to Jaraaf. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 28% and both teams to score 39%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Ouakam vs Jaraaf is ouakam or draw, a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 34% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ouakam vs Jaraaf

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 55%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 12%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 88%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; Melbet pay 1.37.

The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Ouakam scoring in 64% of runs and Jaraaf in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Ouakam and 36% for Jaraaf.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ouakam vs Jaraaf: 1-0 (16.2%), 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Ouakam vs Jaraaf

The grid built from 1.03 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Ouakam to win39%2.42
Draw34%2.88
Jaraaf to win27%3.35
Ouakam, draw no bet59%fair 1.70
Jaraaf, draw no bet41%fair 2.42

Double chance

Ouakam or draw73%1.30
Jaraaf or draw61%1.55
Ouakam or Jaraaf (no draw)66%1.39

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.97
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%1.37
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.64
Not both teams to score62%1.54

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Ouakam to score64%fair 1.56
Jaraaf to score56%fair 1.79
Ouakam clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Jaraaf clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Ouakam to win to nil36%fair 2.82
Jaraaf to win to nil25%fair 4.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

1-016.2%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-112.9%
2-08.3%
2-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.6%
Ouakam / Ouakam22.4%
Draw / Ouakam15.8%
Jaraaf / Jaraaf15.4%
Draw / Jaraaf11.9%

Questions about Ouakam vs Jaraaf

Who is favourite in Ouakam vs Jaraaf?

The model gives Ouakam the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Ouakam vs Jaraaf?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Ouakam vs Jaraaf?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Ouakam find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Jaraaf in 56%.

When is Ouakam vs Jaraaf and where is the result shown?

Ouakam vs Jaraaf starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ouakam v JaraafOuakam or draw, 73%
1.30Bet