Scotland Championship
LivingstonHomeLLDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
ArbroathAwayLLLLL711811
Livingston winDrawArbroath win
LivingstonHomeLLDWWArbroathAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.91 2.20 : 0.71
- Favourite
- 71% Livingston
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Livingston vs Arbroath odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.30 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Livingston to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Livingston price at 1.33, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.60 and 1xBet have Arbroath longest at 7.30.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Livingston to win
Double chanceLivingston or draw
89% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Livingston, full-time Livingston
48% chance2.09fair
Livingston vs Arbroath prediction
Livingston vs Arbroath prediction and best bet
Livingston are the clear favourite in the Livingston vs Arbroath prediction, rated 71% to win this Scotland Championship match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Arbroath sit at 11% and the draw at 18%.
The goal expectancy is 2.91 in total, split 2.20 to Livingston and 0.71 to Arbroath. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Livingston to win is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, livingston or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.03.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Livingston stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Arbroath show 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Livingston vs Arbroath? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 46%: Livingston find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Arbroath in 51%. Livingston keep a clean sheet 49% of the time and Arbroath 11%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Livingston vs Arbroath: 2-0 (13.2%), 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Livingston, full-time Livingston leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Livingston vs Arbroath
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 71% / 18% / 11% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Livingston to win71%1.33
Draw18%4.60
Arbroath to win11%7.30
Livingston, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Arbroath, draw no bet13%fair 7.58
Double chance
Livingston or draw89%1.03
Arbroath or draw29%2.82
Livingston or Arbroath (no draw)82%1.13
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.65
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Under 2.5 goals45%2.06
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.95
Not both teams to score54%1.74
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Livingston to score89%fair 1.12
Arbroath to score51%fair 1.97
Livingston clean sheet49%fair 2.03
Arbroath clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Livingston to win to nil45%fair 2.21
Arbroath to win to nil10%fair 10.10
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-013.2%
1-012%
3-09.7%
2-19.4%
1-18.5%
3-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
Livingston / Livingston47.9%
Draw / Livingston20.7%
Draw / Draw11.2%
Arbroath / Arbroath5.6%
Draw / Arbroath4.3%
Questions about Livingston vs Arbroath
Livingston or Arbroath: which side does the model back?
The model gives Livingston the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Livingston vs Arbroath correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Livingston vs Arbroath both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Livingston find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Arbroath in 51%.
When is Livingston vs Arbroath and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.