Scotland Championship
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Ayr UtdAwayLWDLW302941
Morton winDrawAyr Utd win
MortonHomeLLWWWAyr UtdAwayLWDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.14 : 1.36
- Favourite
- 41% Ayr Utd
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Morton vs Ayr Utd
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.14 | 3.22 | 2.10 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.73 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ayr Utd to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Morton vs Ayr Utd prediction: Morton 3.14 (1xBet), draw 3.22 (1xBet), Ayr Utd 2.10 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.90 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.77 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Morton or Ayr Utd (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ayr Utd, full-time Ayr Utd
25% chance4.05fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Morton vs Ayr Utd prediction
Morton vs Ayr Utd prediction and best bet
The Morton vs Ayr Utd prediction leans to Ayr Utd: 41% against 30% for Morton, with 29% left for the draw, in the Scotland Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.50 in total, split 1.14 to Morton and 1.36 to Ayr Utd. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Morton vs Ayr Utd is morton or Ayr Utd (no draw), a 71% chance. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Morton vs Ayr Utd.
Form check: Morton have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 7 conceded, Ayr Utd 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Morton vs Ayr Utd
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.77.
Both teams to score is 52%: Morton find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Ayr Utd in 74%. Morton keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Ayr Utd 32%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 11.2% and 1-0 at 9.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ayr Utd, full-time Ayr Utd leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Morton vs Ayr Utd
The grid built from 1.14 and 1.36 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Morton to win30%3.14
Draw29%3.22
Ayr Utd to win41%2.10
Morton, draw no bet42%fair 2.36
Ayr Utd, draw no bet58%fair 1.74
Double chance
Morton or draw59%1.59
Ayr Utd or draw70%1.27
Morton or Ayr Utd (no draw)71%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%1.90
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.77
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.73
Not both teams to score48%1.98
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Morton to score68%fair 1.47
Ayr Utd to score74%fair 1.35
Morton clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Ayr Utd clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Morton to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Ayr Utd to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-111.2%
1-09.4%
1-28.7%
0-08.2%
0-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
Ayr Utd / Ayr Utd24.7%
Morton / Morton17.9%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Draw / Ayr Utd14.9%
Draw / Morton11.8%
Questions about Morton vs Ayr Utd
Who is favourite in Morton vs Ayr Utd?
The model gives Ayr Utd the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Morton vs Ayr Utd correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Morton vs Ayr Utd?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Morton find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Ayr Utd in 74%.
What time does Morton vs Ayr Utd kick off?
Morton vs Ayr Utd starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.