National Soccer League
SunriseHomeWDLDD
Thu 5 Nov
Al MerreikhAwayDLWWD333631
Sunrise winDrawAl Merreikh win
SunriseHomeWDLDDAl MerreikhAwayDLWWD- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.60 0.81 : 0.79
- Favourite
- 33% Sunrise
- Over 2.5 goals
- 21% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 30% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Sunrise vs Al Merreikh odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Sunrise vs Al Merreikh yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
68%
Our prediction
Sunrise or draw
1.46fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
70% chance1.43fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
48% chance2.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
20% chance4.95fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
28% chance3.64fair
First halfFirst-half goal
51% chance1.95fair
Sunrise vs Al Merreikh prediction
Our Sunrise vs Al Merreikh prediction and pick
The Sunrise vs Al Merreikh prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. National Soccer League on Thursday, 5 November 2026 gives Sunrise a 33% chance, Al Merreikh 32% and the draw 36%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Sunrise are expected to score 0.81 and Al Merreikh 0.79, so the total line is 1.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 21% and BTTS at 30%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sunrise vs Al Merreikh is sunrise or draw, a 68% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
A 36% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Sunrise stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Al Merreikh show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Sunrise vs Al Merreikh? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 79% and under 3.5 92%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 48% and over 2.5 at 21%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 79%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 30%, built from Sunrise scoring in 56% of runs and Al Merreikh in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Sunrise and 45% for Al Merreikh.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sunrise vs Al Merreikh: 0-0 (20.2%), 1-0 (16.4%) and 0-1 (15.9%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 51%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Sunrise vs Al Merreikh
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sunrise vs Al Merreikh, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sunrise to win33%fair 3.05
Draw36%fair 2.81
Al Merreikh to win32%fair 3.16
Sunrise, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Al Merreikh, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Double chance
Sunrise or draw68%fair 1.46
Al Merreikh or draw67%fair 1.49
Sunrise or Al Merreikh (no draw)64%fair 1.55
Goals
Over 0.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 goals48%fair 2.11
Over 2.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 41.67
Under 1.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Under 2.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.09
BTTS
Both teams to score30%fair 3.34
Not both teams to score70%fair 1.43
Halves
First-half goal51%fair 1.95
Over 1.5 first-half goals16%fair 6.13
Second-half goal59%fair 1.71
Team goals
Sunrise to score56%fair 1.80
Al Merreikh to score55%fair 1.83
Sunrise clean sheet45%fair 2.20
Al Merreikh clean sheet45%fair 2.25
Sunrise to win to nil30%fair 3.31
Al Merreikh to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.08
Even number of goals52%fair 1.92
Most likely scores
0-020.2%
1-016.4%
0-115.9%
1-112.9%
2-06.6%
0-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw27.5%
Sunrise / Sunrise17.9%
Al Merreikh / Al Merreikh17.2%
Draw / Sunrise14%
Draw / Al Merreikh13.6%
Questions about Sunrise vs Al Merreikh
Sunrise or Al Merreikh: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sunrise the best chance at 33%, with the draw at 36%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Sunrise vs Al Merreikh?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 20.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 21%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sunrise vs Al Merreikh?
The BTTS yes line is rated 30%. Sunrise find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Al Merreikh in 55%.
What time does Sunrise vs Al Merreikh kick off?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.