Skip to the predictions
Live 21 UTC
CAF Champions League 2nd Preliminary Round Saturday, 24 October 2026 Pens
Al MerreikhHomeDLWWD
1:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 3:5
HoroyaAwayWL
552718
Al Merreikh winDrawHoroya win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.23
1.49 : 0.74
Favourite
55%
Al Merreikh
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Al Merreikh vs Horoya betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Al Merreikh vs Horoya yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

55%

Our prediction

Al Merreikh to win
StrongExpected goals 1.49 : 0.74
1.82fair
Double chanceAl Merreikh or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.63fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.53fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Merreikh, full-time Al Merreikh
34% chance2.98fair

Al Merreikh v Horoya head to head

0Al Merreikh wins
0Draws
1Horoya wins
  • 18 Oct 26Horoya1:0Al Merreikh

1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: Al Merreikh scored 0, Horoya scored 1.

Al Merreikh vs Horoya prediction

Al Merreikh vs Horoya prediction and best bet

Al Merreikh vs Horoya prediction for the CAF Champions League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Al Merreikh a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 27% and Horoya at 18%.

The goal expectancy is 2.23 in total, split 1.49 to Al Merreikh and 0.74 to Horoya. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 40%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Al Merreikh vs Horoya is al Merreikh to win, a 55% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Al Merreikh or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance.

A low-scoring Al Merreikh vs Horoya? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 65%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 62% and under 3.5 is 81%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%.

Both teams to score is 40%: Al Merreikh find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Horoya in 52%. Al Merreikh keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and Horoya 23%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16%, followed by 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (11.9%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Merreikh, full-time Al Merreikh is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.

Every market for Al Merreikh vs Horoya

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 27% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Al Merreikh to win55%fair 1.82
Draw27%fair 3.72
Horoya to win18%fair 5.52
Al Merreikh, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Horoya, draw no bet25%fair 4.03

Double chance

Al Merreikh or draw82%fair 1.22
Horoya or draw45%fair 2.22
Al Merreikh or Horoya (no draw)73%fair 1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Over 2.5 goals39%fair 2.60
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.35
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 13.16
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.88
Under 2.5 goals62%fair 1.63
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.23

BTTS

Both teams to score40%fair 2.48
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.68

Halves

First-half goal63%fair 1.58
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.76
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41

Team goals

Al Merreikh to score78%fair 1.29
Horoya to score52%fair 1.91
Al Merreikh clean sheet48%fair 2.10
Horoya clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Al Merreikh to win to nil44%fair 2.28
Horoya to win to nil17%fair 5.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-016%
2-011.9%
1-111.9%
0-010.8%
2-18.8%
0-18%

Half-time / full-time

Al Merreikh / Al Merreikh33.6%
Draw / Al Merreikh19.4%
Draw / Draw18.1%
Horoya / Horoya9.9%
Draw / Horoya7.8%

Questions about Al Merreikh vs Horoya

Who is favourite in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?

The model gives Al Merreikh the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Al Merreikh vs Horoya?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.

Al Merreikh vs Horoya both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Al Merreikh find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Horoya in 52%.

When do Al Merreikh play Horoya?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Al Merreikh v HoroyaAl Merreikh to win, 55%
1.82fair