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Live 16 UTC
National Soccer League Round 8 Wednesday, 4 November 2026 Kick-off
BugeseraHomeWWL
Wed 4 Nov
AmagajuAwayDLWLL
413029
Bugesera winDrawAmagaju win
Kick-off
Wed 4 Nov
Expected goals
2.02
1.14 : 0.88
Favourite
41%
Bugesera
Over 2.5 goals
33%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Bugesera vs Amagaju

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Bugesera vs Amagaju yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

72%

Our prediction

Bugesera or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.14 : 0.88
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.66fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.67fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bugesera, full-time Bugesera
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.68fair

Bugesera vs Amagaju prediction

Bugesera vs Amagaju prediction, who wins and at what price

Bugesera are marginally ahead in the Bugesera vs Amagaju prediction, rated 41% to win this National Soccer League match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Amagaju sit at 28% and the draw at 30%.

Bugesera are expected to score 1.14 and Amagaju 0.88, so the total line is 2.02 goals; over 2.5 lands at 33% and BTTS at 40%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Bugesera vs Amagaju is bugesera or draw, a 72% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Bugesera average 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded across their last 3, Amagaju 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Bugesera vs Amagaju

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 60%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Bugesera scoring in 68% of runs and Amagaju in 59%; clean sheets come at 42% for Bugesera and 32% for Amagaju.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bugesera vs Amagaju: 1-0 (15.1%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (13.3%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bugesera, full-time Bugesera leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Bugesera vs Amagaju

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 30% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Bugesera to win41%fair 2.42
Draw30%fair 3.29
Amagaju to win28%fair 3.55
Bugesera, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Amagaju, draw no bet41%fair 2.47

Double chance

Bugesera or draw72%fair 1.39
Amagaju or draw59%fair 1.71
Bugesera or Amagaju (no draw)70%fair 1.44

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 2.5 goals33%fair 3.06
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 18.52
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Under 2.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17

BTTS

Both teams to score40%fair 2.52
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.66

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.68
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.33
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49

Team goals

Bugesera to score68%fair 1.47
Amagaju to score59%fair 1.71
Bugesera clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Amagaju clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Bugesera to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Amagaju to win to nil26%fair 3.86

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-015.1%
1-113.3%
0-013.3%
0-111.7%
2-08.6%
2-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Bugesera / Bugesera23.9%
Draw / Draw21.4%
Draw / Bugesera16%
Amagaju / Amagaju15.4%
Draw / Amagaju11.5%

Questions about Bugesera vs Amagaju

Who is favourite in Bugesera vs Amagaju?

The model gives Bugesera the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Bugesera vs Amagaju correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 33%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Bugesera vs Amagaju both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Bugesera find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Amagaju in 59%.

When do Bugesera play Amagaju?

Bugesera vs Amagaju starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Bugesera v AmagajuBugesera or draw, 72%
1.39fair