National Soccer League
MarinesHomeDWDWL
Thu 5 Nov
PoliceAwayLDLLW552619
Marines winDrawPolice win
MarinesHomeDWDWLPoliceAwayLDLLW- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.20 1.48 : 0.72
- Favourite
- 55% Marines
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Marines vs Police
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
55%
Our prediction
Marines to win
1.81fair
Double chanceMarines or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.61fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.66fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.55fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Marines, full-time Marines
34% chance2.96fair
Marines vs Police prediction
Marines vs Police prediction, who wins and at what price
Marines are a narrow favourite in the Marines vs Police prediction, rated 55% to win this National Soccer League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Police sit at 18% and the draw at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.20 in total, split 1.48 to Marines and 0.72 to Police. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Marines vs Police is marines to win, a 55% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, marines or draw covers 82% of outcomes.
Form check: Marines have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 4 conceded, Police 1 of 5 scoring 1 and conceding 4.
A low-scoring Marines vs Police? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Marines vs Police reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 62%.
BTTS yes stands at 40%. Marines score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Police; Police score in 51% while Marines shut them out 49% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 16.4%, then 2-0 at 12.1% and 1-1 at 11.8%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Marines, full-time Marines is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.
Every market rated for Marines vs Police
The grid built from 1.48 and 0.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Marines to win55%fair 1.81
Draw26%fair 3.79
Police to win18%fair 5.52
Marines, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Police, draw no bet25%fair 4.07
Double chance
Marines or draw82%fair 1.22
Police or draw45%fair 2.25
Marines or Police (no draw)74%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.55
Over 2.5 goals38%fair 2.65
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 13.89
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Under 2.5 goals62%fair 1.61
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score40%fair 2.53
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.66
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.83
Second-half goal70%fair 1.42
Team goals
Marines to score77%fair 1.30
Police to score51%fair 1.95
Marines clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Police clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Marines to win to nil45%fair 2.23
Police to win to nil17%fair 5.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-016.4%
2-012.1%
1-111.8%
0-011.1%
2-18.7%
0-18%
Half-time / full-time
Marines / Marines33.8%
Draw / Marines19.6%
Draw / Draw18.4%
Police / Police9.7%
Draw / Police7.7%
Questions about Marines vs Police
Who will win Marines vs Police?
The model gives Marines the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Marines vs Police?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 38%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Marines vs Police?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Marines find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Police in 51%.
What time does Marines vs Police kick off?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.