National Soccer League
PoliceHomeLDLLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
BugeseraAwayWWL423127
Police winDrawBugesera win
PoliceHomeLDLLWBugeseraAwayWWL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.06 1.17 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 42% Police
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Police vs Bugesera odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.14 | 2.95 | 3.31 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.11 | 1.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Police to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Police vs Bugesera prediction: Police 2.14 (22Bet), draw 2.95 (22Bet), Bugesera 3.31 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.49 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.42 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.62 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Police or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.42
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.64fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.71fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Police, full-time Police
24% chance4.10fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fairLost
Police vs Bugesera prediction
Police vs Bugesera prediction and best bet
The Police vs Bugesera prediction leans to Police: 42% against 27% for Bugesera, with 31% left for the draw, in the National Soccer League on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
Police are expected to score 1.17 and Bugesera 0.89, so the total line is 2.06 goals; over 2.5 lands at 33% and BTTS at 42%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is police or draw at 73%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Police vs Bugesera.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Police have won 1 of their last 5 with 1 scored and 4 conceded, Bugesera 2 of 3 scoring 4 and conceding 1.
A low-scoring Police vs Bugesera? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Police vs Bugesera reads 61% for over 1.5, 33% for over 2.5 and 15% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.42 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 42%. Police score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Bugesera; Bugesera score in 59% while Police shut them out 41% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.9%, then 1-1 at 13.3% and 0-0 at 12.7%.
With the top scoreline at 14.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Police vs Bugesera; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Police, full-time Police leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Police vs Bugesera
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Police vs Bugesera, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Police to win42%2.14
Draw31%2.95
Bugesera to win27%3.31
Police, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Bugesera, draw no bet39%fair 2.56
Double chance
Police or draw73%1.24
Bugesera or draw58%1.56
Police or Bugesera (no draw)70%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.64
Over 2.5 goals33%2.49
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.24
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Under 2.5 goals67%1.42
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.11
Not both teams to score58%1.62
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.22
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47
Team goals
Police to score69%fair 1.45
Bugesera to score59%fair 1.70
Police clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Bugesera clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Police to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Bugesera to win to nil25%fair 4.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-014.9%
1-113.3%
0-012.7%
0-111.3%
2-08.7%
2-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
Police / Police24.4%
Draw / Draw20.9%
Draw / Police16.1%
Bugesera / Bugesera15.3%
Draw / Bugesera11.3%
Questions about Police vs Bugesera
Who is favourite in Police vs Bugesera?
The model gives Police the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Police vs Bugesera correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Police vs Bugesera?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Police find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Bugesera in 59%.
What time does Police vs Bugesera kick off?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.