Skip to the predictions
Live 17 UTC
Russia Premier League Round 14 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
AkhmatHomeLLLDL
Sat 7 Nov
Rodina MoskvaAwayLDWLW
552322
Akhmat winDrawRodina Moskva win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.03
1.90 : 1.13
Favourite
55%
Akhmat
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.754.354.661.712.331.642.15Bet
22Bet1.694.184.481.652.251.642.15Bet
BC.Game1.664.104.401.612.201.622.10Bet
Betwinner1.694.184.481.652.251.642.15Bet
Melbet1.694.184.481.652.251.642.15Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Akhmat to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva prediction: Akhmat 1.75 (1xBet), draw 4.35 (1xBet), Rodina Moskva 4.66 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.71 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.15 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

55%

Our prediction

Akhmat to win
StrongExpected goals 1.90 : 1.13-3.4% against the best price
Double chanceAkhmat or draw
78% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat
35% chance2.86fair

Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva prediction

Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva prediction, who wins and at what price

Akhmat are a narrow favourite in the Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva prediction, rated 55% to win this Russia Premier League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Rodina Moskva sit at 22% and the draw at 23%.

Expected goals are 1.90 for Akhmat and 1.13 for Rodina Moskva, a total of 3.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva is akhmat to win, a 55% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.75 at 1xBet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, akhmat or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.25.

Form check: Akhmat have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 8 conceded, Rodina Moskva 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 59%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.71.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Akhmat scoring in 85% of runs and Rodina Moskva in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Akhmat and 15% for Rodina Moskva.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 9.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Akhmat to win55%1.75
Draw23%4.35
Rodina Moskva to win22%4.66
Akhmat, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Rodina Moskva, draw no bet29%fair 3.48

Double chance

Akhmat or draw78%1.25
Rodina Moskva or draw45%2.25
Akhmat or Rodina Moskva (no draw)77%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals59%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.33
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.64
Not both teams to score42%2.15

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Akhmat to score85%fair 1.18
Rodina Moskva to score68%fair 1.48
Akhmat clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Rodina Moskva clean sheet15%fair 6.67
Akhmat to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Rodina Moskva to win to nil14%fair 7.25

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.2%
2-08.7%
3-16.2%
1-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

Akhmat / Akhmat35%
Draw / Akhmat17.1%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Rodina Moskva / Rodina Moskva12.6%
Draw / Rodina Moskva8.2%

Questions about Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva

Who will win Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?

The model gives Akhmat the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Akhmat find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Rodina Moskva in 68%.

What time does Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva kick off?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Akhmat v Rodina MoskvaAkhmat to win, 55%
1.75Bet