KNVB Beker
HoekHomeW
4:2Half-time 3:2
Sparta NijkerkAwayWL671815
Hoek winDrawSparta Nijkerk win
HoekHomeWSparta NijkerkAwayWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.56 2.46 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 67% Hoek
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.32 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.58 | 2.23 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.54 | 4.07 | 5.71 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.40 | 1.46 | 2.58 | 1.51 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.54 | 4.07 | 5.71 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.54 | 4.07 | 5.71 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hoek to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk prediction: Hoek 1.55 (BC.Game), draw 4.50 (1xBet), Sparta Nijkerk 6.32 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (1xBet) and no 2.38 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
67%
Our prediction
Hoek to win
Double chanceHoek or draw
85% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hoek, full-time Hoek
45% chance2.21fair
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk prediction
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk prediction, who wins and at what price
The Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk prediction leans to Hoek: 67% against 15% for Sparta Nijkerk, with 18% left for the draw, in the KNVB Beker on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.56 in total, split 2.46 to Hoek and 1.10 to Sparta Nijkerk. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is hoek to win at 67%. At 1.55 with BC.Game the market prices it at 65%, against 67% from the model.
That gap is worth 3.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, hoek or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.12.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goals forecast for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; BC.Game pay 1.46.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Hoek score in 92% of simulations against a 9% clean sheet for Sparta Nijkerk; Sparta Nijkerk score in 67% while Hoek shut them out 33% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.5%, then 2-0 at 8.6% and 3-1 at 7.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Hoek, full-time Hoek is the top combination at 45%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 67% / 18% / 15% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hoek to win67%1.55
Draw18%4.50
Sparta Nijkerk to win15%6.32
Hoek, draw no bet82%fair 1.23
Sparta Nijkerk, draw no bet19%fair 5.41
Double chance
Hoek or draw85%1.12
Sparta Nijkerk or draw33%2.63
Hoek or Sparta Nijkerk (no draw)82%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 2.5 goals31%2.63
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.91
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.58
Not both teams to score40%2.38
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Hoek to score92%fair 1.09
Sparta Nijkerk to score67%fair 1.50
Hoek clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Sparta Nijkerk clean sheet9%fair 11.76
Hoek to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Sparta Nijkerk to win to nil8%fair 12.66
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.5%
2-08.6%
3-17.8%
1-17.7%
3-07.1%
1-07%
Half-time / full-time
Hoek / Hoek45.2%
Draw / Hoek18.1%
Draw / Draw9.3%
Sparta Nijkerk / Sparta Nijkerk8.5%
Draw / Sparta Nijkerk5.5%
Questions about Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk
Who will win Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
The model gives Hoek the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Hoek find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Sparta Nijkerk in 67%.
When is Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.