KNVB Beker
ACVHomeWL
1:2Half-time 0:0
AFC AmsterdamAwayWW372241
ACV winDrawAFC Amsterdam win
ACVHomeWLAFC AmsterdamAwayWW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.18 1.53 : 1.65
- Favourite
- 42% AFC Amsterdam
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.58 | 3.96 | 2.24 | 1.58 | 2.27 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.50 | 3.81 | 2.46 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.34 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 1.49 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AFC Amsterdam to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for ACV vs AFC Amsterdam are 2.58 for ACV at 1xBet, 3.96 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.46 for AFC Amsterdam at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (1xBet) and no 2.50 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
78%
Our prediction
ACV or AFC Amsterdam (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AFC Amsterdam, full-time AFC Amsterdam
25% chance4.05fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam prediction
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam prediction and best bet
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam prediction for the KNVB Beker on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model calls it close, ACV 37%, draw 22%, AFC Amsterdam 42%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
ACV are expected to score 1.53 and AFC Amsterdam 1.65, so the total line is 3.18 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is aCV or AFC Amsterdam (no draw) at 78%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 2 points over the model figure.
With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Goals forecast for ACV vs AFC Amsterdam with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines ACV vs AFC Amsterdam reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.60 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. ACV score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for AFC Amsterdam; AFC Amsterdam score in 81% while ACV shut them out 19% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%, followed by 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AFC Amsterdam, full-time AFC Amsterdam is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market rated for ACV vs AFC Amsterdam
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 22% / 42% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
ACV to win37%2.58
Draw22%3.96
AFC Amsterdam to win42%2.46
ACV, draw no bet47%fair 2.14
AFC Amsterdam, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Double chance
ACV or draw58%1.56
AFC Amsterdam or draw63%1.49
ACV or AFC Amsterdam (no draw)78%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.60
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.75
Under 2.5 goals39%2.27
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.51
Not both teams to score37%2.50
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.39
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
ACV to score78%fair 1.28
AFC Amsterdam to score81%fair 1.24
ACV clean sheet19%fair 5.21
AFC Amsterdam clean sheet22%fair 4.61
ACV to win to nil18%fair 5.65
AFC Amsterdam to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
1-28.7%
2-18%
0-16.9%
2-26.6%
1-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
AFC Amsterdam / AFC Amsterdam24.7%
ACV / ACV21.2%
Draw / AFC Amsterdam13.3%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Draw / ACV11.9%
Questions about ACV vs AFC Amsterdam
Who is favourite in ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
The model gives AFC Amsterdam the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. ACV find the net in 78% of simulated matches and AFC Amsterdam in 81%.
What time does ACV vs AFC Amsterdam kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.