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Live 11 UTC
Montenegro First League Round 12 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
Buducnost PodgoricaHomeWDWDW
3:3Half-time 1:1
Arsenal TivatAwayLLDD
662212
Buducnost Podgorica winDrawArsenal Tivat win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
2.57
1.89 : 0.68
Favourite
66%
Buducnost Podgorica
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.403.986.971.921.762.091.63Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Buducnost Podgorica to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat prediction: Buducnost Podgorica 1.40 (1xBet), draw 3.98 (1xBet), Arsenal Tivat 6.97 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.76 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.09 (1xBet) and no 1.63 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

66%

Our prediction

Buducnost Podgorica to win
BankerExpected goals 1.89 : 0.68-7.3% against the best price
Double chanceBuducnost Podgorica or draw
88% chance1.04
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.76
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Buducnost Podgorica, full-time Buducnost Podgorica
43% chance2.34fair

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat prediction

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat prediction, who wins and at what price

Buducnost Podgorica host Arsenal Tivat on Thursday, 22 October 2026 in the Montenegro First League, and the model has Buducnost Podgorica at 66%, the draw at 22% and Arsenal Tivat at 12%: that is the Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat prediction in one line.

Buducnost Podgorica are expected to score 1.89 and Arsenal Tivat 0.68, so the total line is 2.57 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 43%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat is buducnost Podgorica to win, a 66% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.40. That price implies 71%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, buducnost Podgorica or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.04.

Over the last 5 matches Buducnost Podgorica stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Arsenal Tivat show 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Buducnost Podgorica scoring in 85% of runs and Arsenal Tivat in 49%; clean sheets come at 51% for Buducnost Podgorica and 15% for Arsenal Tivat.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.5%, then 2-0 at 13.7% and 1-1 at 9.8%.

With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Buducnost Podgorica, full-time Buducnost Podgorica is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market rated for Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat

The grid built from 1.89 and 0.68 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Buducnost Podgorica to win66%1.40
Draw22%3.98
Arsenal Tivat to win12%6.97
Buducnost Podgorica, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Arsenal Tivat, draw no bet15%fair 6.71

Double chance

Buducnost Podgorica or draw88%1.04
Arsenal Tivat or draw34%2.53
Buducnost Podgorica or Arsenal Tivat (no draw)78%1.17

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.92
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.76
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35

BTTS

Both teams to score43%2.09
Not both teams to score57%1.63

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Buducnost Podgorica to score85%fair 1.18
Arsenal Tivat to score49%fair 2.03
Buducnost Podgorica clean sheet51%fair 1.97
Arsenal Tivat clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Buducnost Podgorica to win to nil47%fair 2.15
Arsenal Tivat to win to nil11%fair 9.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
2-013.7%
1-19.8%
2-19.3%
3-08.6%
0-07.7%

Half-time / full-time

Buducnost Podgorica / Buducnost Podgorica42.8%
Draw / Buducnost Podgorica20.9%
Draw / Draw14%
Arsenal Tivat / Arsenal Tivat6.7%
Draw / Arsenal Tivat5.3%

Questions about Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat

Who is favourite in Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat?

The model gives Buducnost Podgorica the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Buducnost Podgorica find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Arsenal Tivat in 49%.

When is Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat and where is the result shown?

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat starts at 16:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Buducnost Podgorica v Arsenal TivatBuducnost Podgorica to win, 66%
1.40Bet