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Live 23 UTC
Montenegro First League Round 12 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
MornarHomeDWWLD
4:1Half-time 1:1
Mladost DGAwayLDDLL
632314
Mornar winDrawMladost DG win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
2.73
1.91 : 0.82
Favourite
63%
Mornar
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Mornar vs Mladost DG odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.483.885.711.791.881.841.83Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mornar to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Mornar vs Mladost DG prediction: Mornar 1.48 (1xBet), draw 3.88 (1xBet), Mladost DG 5.71 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

63%

Our prediction

Mornar to win
BankerExpected goals 1.91 : 0.82-6.9% against the best price
Double chanceMornar or draw
86% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mornar, full-time Mornar
41% chance2.46fair

Mornar vs Mladost DG prediction

Mornar vs Mladost DG prediction, who wins and at what price

Mornar vs Mladost DG prediction for the Montenegro First League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Mornar the clear favourite at 63%, with the draw at 23% and Mladost DG at 15%.

The goal expectancy is 2.73 in total, split 1.91 to Mornar and 0.82 to Mladost DG. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 49%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Mornar vs Mladost DG is mornar to win, a 63% chance. At 1.48 with 1xBet the market prices it at 68%, against 63% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mornar vs Mladost DG.

For a safer line, mornar or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.07.

Mornar average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Mladost DG 0.6 and 2.0 across 5.

How many goals in Mornar vs Mladost DG? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Mornar vs Mladost DG reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 49%: Mornar find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Mladost DG in 56%. Mornar keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and Mladost DG 15%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mornar vs Mladost DG: 1-0 (12.5%), 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (10.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mornar, full-time Mornar leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Mornar vs Mladost DG

The grid built from 1.91 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Mornar to win63%1.48
Draw23%3.88
Mladost DG to win15%5.71
Mornar, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Mladost DG, draw no bet19%fair 5.35

Double chance

Mornar or draw86%1.07
Mladost DG or draw37%2.31
Mornar or Mladost DG (no draw)77%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.79
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%1.88
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.84
Not both teams to score51%1.83

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Mornar to score85%fair 1.17
Mladost DG to score56%fair 1.79
Mornar clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Mladost DG clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Mornar to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Mladost DG to win to nil13%fair 7.52

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.5%
2-011.9%
1-110.2%
2-19.8%
3-07.6%
0-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Mornar / Mornar40.6%
Draw / Mornar19.7%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Mladost DG / Mladost DG8.3%
Draw / Mladost DG6.2%

Questions about Mornar vs Mladost DG

Who is favourite in Mornar vs Mladost DG?

The model gives Mornar the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Mornar vs Mladost DG?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Mornar vs Mladost DG?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Mornar find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Mladost DG in 56%.

What time does Mornar vs Mladost DG kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Mornar v Mladost DGMornar to win, 63%
1.48Bet