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Live 31 UTC
Montenegro First League Round 12 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
JezeroHomeLDDLD
1:2Half-time 0:1
PetrovacAwayLLWWD
333037
Jezero winDrawPetrovac win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.39
1.15 : 1.24
Favourite
37%
Petrovac
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Jezero vs Petrovac

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.853.102.302.121.621.831.84Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Petrovac to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Jezero vs Petrovac prediction: Jezero 2.85 (1xBet), draw 3.10 (1xBet), Petrovac 2.30 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.84 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

70%

Our prediction

Jezero or Petrovac (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.15 : 1.24-11.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Petrovac, full-time Petrovac
22% chance4.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Jezero vs Petrovac prediction

Jezero vs Petrovac prediction and best bet

Jezero vs Petrovac prediction for the Montenegro First League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model calls it close, Jezero 33%, draw 30%, Petrovac 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.15 for Jezero and 1.24 for Petrovac, a total of 2.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is jezero or Petrovac (no draw) at 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Jezero average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Petrovac 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Jezero vs Petrovac

On the goal lines Jezero vs Petrovac reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.62.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Jezero score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Petrovac; Petrovac score in 71% while Jezero shut them out 29% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Jezero vs Petrovac: 1-1 (13.1%), 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-0 (10.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Petrovac, full-time Petrovac leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Jezero vs Petrovac

The grid built from 1.15 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Jezero to win33%2.85
Draw30%3.10
Petrovac to win37%2.30
Jezero, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Petrovac, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

Jezero or draw63%1.48
Petrovac or draw67%1.32
Jezero or Petrovac (no draw)70%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.12
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.62
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.83
Not both teams to score51%1.84

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Jezero to score68%fair 1.46
Petrovac to score71%fair 1.41
Jezero clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Petrovac clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Jezero to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Petrovac to win to nil29%fair 3.44

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-111.4%
1-010.5%
0-09.2%
1-28.1%
2-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

Petrovac / Petrovac22.3%
Jezero / Jezero19.4%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Draw / Petrovac14.1%
Draw / Jezero12.8%

Questions about Jezero vs Petrovac

Jezero or Petrovac: which side does the model back?

The model gives Petrovac the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Jezero vs Petrovac?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Jezero vs Petrovac?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Jezero find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Petrovac in 71%.

When do Jezero play Petrovac?

Jezero vs Petrovac starts at 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Jezero v PetrovacJezero or Petrovac (no draw), 70%
1.27Bet