Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj prediction

Our Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj prediction and pick

Bokelj are marginally ahead in the Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj prediction, rated 41% to win this Montenegro First League match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Arsenal Tivat sit at 28% and the draw at 31%.

Expected goals are 0.95 for Arsenal Tivat and 1.21 for Bokelj, a total of 2.16, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is bokelj or draw at 72%. At 1.32 with Melbet the market prices it at 76%, against 72% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Arsenal Tivat have won 0 of their last 4 with 4 scored and 7 conceded, Bokelj 2 of 4 scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj

Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 64% and over 2.5 at 36%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.54 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Arsenal Tivat scoring in 61% of runs and Bokelj in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Arsenal Tivat and 39% for Bokelj.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bokelj, full-time Bokelj is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.