Bregalnica Štip vs Shkendija prediction

Bregalnica Štip vs Shkendija prediction, who wins and at what price

Bregalnica Štip vs Shkendija prediction for the Macedonia First League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Shkendija a narrow favourite at 60%, with the draw at 24% and Bregalnica Štip at 17%.

Bregalnica Štip are expected to score 0.89 and Shkendija 1.85, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is shkendija to win at 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.57 at 22Bet, which implies 64%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bregalnica Štip vs Shkendija.

Shkendija or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.13.

Bregalnica Štip average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Shkendija 2.0 and 0.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Bregalnica Štip vs Shkendija

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.76 at Betwinner.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Bregalnica Štip score in 59% of simulations against a 41% clean sheet for Shkendija; Shkendija score in 84% while Bregalnica Štip shut them out 16% of the time.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 11.9%, then 0-2 at 11% and 1-1 at 10.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shkendija, full-time Shkendija leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.