Macedonia First League
AresimiHomeLDDL
3:4Half-time 1:2
Bregalnica ŠtipAwayWLLWL522325
Aresimi winDrawBregalnica Štip win
AresimiHomeLDDLBregalnica ŠtipAwayWLLWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.90 1.77 : 1.13
- Favourite
- 52% Aresimi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
52%
Our prediction
Aresimi to win
1.91fair
Double chanceAresimi or Bregalnica Štip (no draw)
77% chance1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.80fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.78fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aresimi, full-time Aresimi
33% chance3.07fair
Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip prediction
Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip prediction and best bet
Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip prediction for the Macedonia First League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Aresimi a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 23% and Bregalnica Štip at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.77 for Aresimi and 1.13 for Bregalnica Štip, a total of 2.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip is aresimi to win, a 52% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Aresimi or Bregalnica Štip (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance.
Over the last 4 matches Aresimi stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Bregalnica Štip show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip
On the goal lines Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%.
Both teams to score is 56%: Aresimi find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Bregalnica Štip in 68%. Aresimi keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Bregalnica Štip 17%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Aresimi, full-time Aresimi is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
All markets, Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 23% / 24% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Aresimi to win52%fair 1.91
Draw23%fair 4.27
Bregalnica Štip to win24%fair 4.13
Aresimi, draw no bet68%fair 1.46
Bregalnica Štip, draw no bet32%fair 3.16
Double chance
Aresimi or draw76%fair 1.32
Bregalnica Štip or draw48%fair 2.10
Aresimi or Bregalnica Štip (no draw)77%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.25
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score56%fair 1.78
Not both teams to score44%fair 2.28
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.67
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Aresimi to score83%fair 1.20
Bregalnica Štip to score68%fair 1.48
Aresimi clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Bregalnica Štip clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Aresimi to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Bregalnica Štip to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-19.7%
1-09.7%
2-08.6%
1-26.2%
0-16.2%
Half-time / full-time
Aresimi / Aresimi32.6%
Draw / Aresimi16.8%
Bregalnica Štip / Bregalnica Štip13.7%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Draw / Bregalnica Štip8.9%
Questions about Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip
Who will win Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip?
The model gives Aresimi the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Aresimi vs Bregalnica Štip?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Aresimi find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Bregalnica Štip in 68%.
When do Aresimi play Bregalnica Štip?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.