Vardar Skopje vs Struga prediction

Our Vardar Skopje vs Struga prediction and pick

Vardar Skopje vs Struga prediction for the Macedonia First League on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Vardar Skopje a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 27% and Struga at 23%.

Expected goals are 1.58 for Vardar Skopje and 0.99 for Struga, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Vardar Skopje vs Struga is vardar Skopje to win, a 50% chance. At 1.86 with 22Bet the market prices it at 54%, against 50% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vardar Skopje vs Struga.

Vardar Skopje or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.24.

Over the last 4 matches Vardar Skopje stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Struga show 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

Vardar Skopje vs Struga goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.73.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Vardar Skopje scoring in 79% of runs and Struga in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Vardar Skopje and 21% for Struga.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Vardar Skopje vs Struga: 1-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Vardar Skopje, full-time Vardar Skopje is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.