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Macedonia First League Round 12 Monday, 2 November 2026 45+4'
Bashkimi KumanovoHomeLWLL
0:0
AresimiAwayLDDL
342442
Bashkimi Kumanovo winDrawAresimi win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
3.19
1.50 : 1.69
Favourite
42%
Aresimi
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.953.542.051.532.291.462.46Bet
22Bet2.913.542.071.542.271.472.44Bet
Betwinner2.723.522.191.542.271.472.44Bet
Melbet2.723.522.191.552.241.472.44Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aresimi to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi are 2.95 for Bashkimi Kumanovo at 1xBet, 3.54 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.19 for Aresimi at Betwinner.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.55 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.29 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (22Bet) and no 2.46 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Bashkimi Kumanovo or Aresimi (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.50 : 1.69-8.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aresimi, full-time Aresimi
26% chance3.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi odds movement

Bashkimi Kumanovo win2.95unchanged
Draw3.54-0.11
Aresimi win2.19+0.08
Over 2.5 goals1.55-0.02
Under 2.5 goals2.29-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi prediction

Our Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi prediction and pick

The Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi prediction leans to Aresimi: 42% against 34% for Bashkimi Kumanovo, with 24% left for the draw, in the Macedonia First League on Monday, 2 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.19 in total, split 1.50 to Bashkimi Kumanovo and 1.69 to Aresimi. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 65%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi is bashkimi Kumanovo or Aresimi (no draw), a 76% chance. At 1.21 with Melbet the market prices it at 83%, against 76% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi.

Over the last 4 matches Bashkimi Kumanovo stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Aresimi show 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.55.

Both teams to score is 65%: Bashkimi Kumanovo find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Aresimi in 82%. Bashkimi Kumanovo keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Aresimi 22%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 1-2 at 8.8% and 2-1 at 7.8%.

With the top scoreline at 10.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Aresimi, full-time Aresimi is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market rated for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 24% / 42% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Bashkimi Kumanovo to win34%2.95
Draw24%3.54
Aresimi to win42%2.19
Bashkimi Kumanovo, draw no bet45%fair 2.25
Aresimi, draw no bet56%fair 1.80

Double chance

Bashkimi Kumanovo or draw58%1.61
Aresimi or draw66%1.35
Bashkimi Kumanovo or Aresimi (no draw)76%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.55
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals39%2.29
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.47
Not both teams to score35%2.46

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Bashkimi Kumanovo to score78%fair 1.29
Aresimi to score82%fair 1.23
Bashkimi Kumanovo clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Aresimi clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Bashkimi Kumanovo to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Aresimi to win to nil21%fair 4.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%
0-17%
2-26.6%
1-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Aresimi / Aresimi25.8%
Bashkimi Kumanovo / Bashkimi Kumanovo20.3%
Draw / Aresimi13.6%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Draw / Bashkimi Kumanovo11.5%

Questions about Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi

Who is favourite in Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi?

The model gives Aresimi the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Bashkimi Kumanovo find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Aresimi in 82%.

What time does Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi kick off?

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Aresimi starts at 13:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Bashkimi Kumanovo v AresimiBashkimi Kumanovo or Aresimi (no draw), 76%
1.21Bet