Skip to the predictions
Live 16 UTC
Lebanon Premier League Round 5 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Tadamon SourHomeWDWWL
0:2Half-time 0:0
SafaAwayWWWW
222652
Tadamon Sour winDrawSafa win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.66
1.00 : 1.66
Favourite
53%
Safa
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Tadamon Sour vs Safa betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.473.401.691.881.791.801.87Bet
22Bet4.133.511.811.911.831.901.80Bet
BC.Game4.103.401.801.921.80--Bet
Betwinner4.133.511.811.911.831.901.80Bet
Melbet4.133.511.811.911.831.901.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Safa to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Tadamon Sour vs Safa prediction: Tadamon Sour 4.47 (1xBet), draw 3.51 (22Bet), Safa 1.81 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.92 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.83 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

53%

Our prediction

Safa to win
StrongExpected goals 1.00 : 1.66-4.9% against the best price
Double chanceSafa or draw
78% chance1.19
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Safa, full-time Safa
33% chance3.07fair

Tadamon Sour vs Safa prediction

Tadamon Sour vs Safa prediction, who wins and at what price

The Tadamon Sour vs Safa prediction leans to Safa: 53% against 22% for Tadamon Sour, with 26% left for the draw, in the Lebanon Premier League on Friday, 30 October 2026.

Tadamon Sour are expected to score 1.00 and Safa 1.66, so the total line is 2.66 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is safa to win at 53%. The best price in our comparison is 1.81 at 22Bet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tadamon Sour vs Safa.

For a safer line, safa or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.19.

Over the last 5 matches Tadamon Sour stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Safa show 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Tadamon Sour vs Safa

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 72%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Tadamon Sour score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for Safa; Safa score in 81% while Tadamon Sour shut them out 19% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 11.6%, followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 0-2 (9.6%).

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tadamon Sour vs Safa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Safa, full-time Safa is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

All markets, Tadamon Sour vs Safa

The grid built from 1.00 and 1.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Tadamon Sour to win22%4.47
Draw26%3.51
Safa to win53%1.81
Tadamon Sour, draw no bet29%fair 3.40
Safa, draw no bet71%fair 1.42

Double chance

Tadamon Sour or draw48%1.93
Safa or draw78%1.19
Tadamon Sour or Safa (no draw)75%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.92
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.83
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.90
Not both teams to score48%1.87

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Tadamon Sour to score63%fair 1.58
Safa to score81%fair 1.23
Tadamon Sour clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Safa clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Tadamon Sour to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Safa to win to nil34%fair 2.96

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-111.6%
1-111.6%
0-29.6%
1-29.6%
0-07%
1-07%

Half-time / full-time

Safa / Safa32.6%
Draw / Safa17.5%
Draw / Draw15%
Tadamon Sour / Tadamon Sour12.6%
Draw / Tadamon Sour8.7%

Questions about Tadamon Sour vs Safa

Tadamon Sour or Safa: which side does the model back?

The model gives Safa the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Tadamon Sour vs Safa correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Tadamon Sour vs Safa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Tadamon Sour find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Safa in 81%.

When do Tadamon Sour play Safa?

Tadamon Sour vs Safa starts at 12:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tadamon Sour v SafaSafa to win, 53%
1.81Bet