Skip to the predictions
Live 30 UTC
Lebanon Premier League Round 6 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
SafaHomeWWWW
Fri 6 Nov
Tripoli SCAwayDWWLL
472726
Safa winDrawTripoli SC win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.48
1.45 : 1.03
Favourite
47%
Safa
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Safa vs Tripoli SC odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Safa vs Tripoli SC yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

74%

Our prediction

Safa or Tripoli SC (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.45 : 1.03
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.97fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Safa, full-time Safa
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Safa vs Tripoli SC prediction

Safa vs Tripoli SC prediction, who wins and at what price

Safa are marginally ahead in the Safa vs Tripoli SC prediction, rated 47% to win this Lebanon Premier League match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Tripoli SC sit at 27% and the draw at 27%.

Safa are expected to score 1.45 and Tripoli SC 1.03, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Safa vs Tripoli SC is safa or Tripoli SC (no draw), a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Safa have won 4 of their last 4 with 9 scored and 2 conceded, Tripoli SC 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 5.

How many goals in Safa vs Tripoli SC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.

BTTS yes stands at 49%. Safa score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Tripoli SC; Tripoli SC score in 64% while Safa shut them out 36% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Safa vs Tripoli SC: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Safa, full-time Safa leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Safa vs Tripoli SC

The grid built from 1.45 and 1.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Safa to win47%fair 2.15
Draw27%fair 3.77
Tripoli SC to win27%fair 3.69
Safa, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Tripoli SC, draw no bet37%fair 2.72

Double chance

Safa or draw73%fair 1.37
Tripoli SC or draw54%fair 1.87
Safa or Tripoli SC (no draw)74%fair 1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score49%fair 2.03
Not both teams to score51%fair 1.97

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34

Team goals

Safa to score77%fair 1.31
Tripoli SC to score64%fair 1.56
Safa clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Tripoli SC clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Safa to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Tripoli SC to win to nil22%fair 4.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-012.1%
2-19.1%
2-08.8%
0-18.6%
0-08.4%

Half-time / full-time

Safa / Safa28.1%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Safa16.4%
Tripoli SC / Tripoli SC15%
Draw / Tripoli SC10.3%

Questions about Safa vs Tripoli SC

Safa or Tripoli SC: which side does the model back?

The model gives Safa the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Safa vs Tripoli SC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Safa vs Tripoli SC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Safa find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Tripoli SC in 64%.

When do Safa play Tripoli SC?

Kick-off is 11:15 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Safa v Tripoli SCSafa or Tripoli SC (no draw), 74%
1.36fair