Lebanon Premier League
Al AhedHomeDWDWD
Sun 8 Nov
Al NejmehAwayDWLWD353035
Al Ahed winDrawAl Nejmeh win
Al AhedHomeDWDWDAl NejmehAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.10 1.05 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 35% Al Nejmeh
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
70%
Our prediction
Al Ahed or Al Nejmeh (no draw)
1.43fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.53fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.73fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.61fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.85fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.64fair
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh prediction
Our Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh prediction and pick
The Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Lebanon Premier League on Sunday, 8 November 2026 gives Al Ahed a 35% chance, Al Nejmeh 35% and the draw 30%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.05 for Al Ahed and 1.05 for Al Nejmeh, a total of 2.10, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 42%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh is al Ahed or Al Nejmeh (no draw), a 70% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Al Ahed stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Al Nejmeh show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh reads 62% for over 1.5, 35% for over 2.5 and 16% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 65%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%.
Both teams to score is 42%: Al Ahed find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Al Nejmeh in 65%. Al Ahed keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Al Nejmeh 35%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.5%, then 0-1 at 12.9% and 1-0 at 12.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh
The grid built from 1.05 and 1.05 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Ahed to win35%fair 2.87
Draw30%fair 3.33
Al Nejmeh to win35%fair 2.85
Al Ahed, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Al Nejmeh, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Double chance
Al Ahed or draw65%fair 1.54
Al Nejmeh or draw65%fair 1.54
Al Ahed or Al Nejmeh (no draw)70%fair 1.43
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.61
Over 2.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.13
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Under 2.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19
BTTS
Both teams to score42%fair 2.38
Not both teams to score58%fair 1.73
Halves
First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.10
Second-half goal69%fair 1.46
Team goals
Al Ahed to score65%fair 1.54
Al Nejmeh to score65%fair 1.54
Al Ahed clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Al Nejmeh clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Al Ahed to win to nil32%fair 3.12
Al Nejmeh to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-113.5%
0-112.9%
1-012.9%
0-012.2%
1-27.1%
2-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw20.6%
Al Nejmeh / Al Nejmeh19.8%
Al Ahed / Al Ahed19.8%
Draw / Al Nejmeh13.7%
Draw / Al Ahed13.7%
Questions about Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh
Who will win Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
The model gives Al Nejmeh the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Al Ahed find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Al Nejmeh in 65%.
What time does Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.