Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction

Our Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction and pick

The Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Lebanon Premier League on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives Al Mabarrah a 33% chance, Shabab Al Sahel 37% and the draw 30%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Al Mabarrah are expected to score 1.01 and Shabab Al Sahel 1.08, so the total line is 2.09 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 42%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel is al Mabarrah or Shabab Al Sahel (no draw), a 70% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Form check: Al Mabarrah have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 8 conceded, Shabab Al Sahel 0 of 4 scoring 0 and conceding 6.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%.

Both teams to score is 42%: Al Mabarrah find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Shabab Al Sahel in 66%. Al Mabarrah keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Shabab Al Sahel 36%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%, followed by 0-1 (13.4%) and 1-0 (12.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Shabab Al Sahel, full-time Shabab Al Sahel is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 61%.