AFC Challenge League
Al ArabiHomeLLLWW
1:3Half-time 1:1
Al NejmehAwayDWLWD353134
Al Arabi winDrawAl Nejmeh win
Al ArabiHomeLLLWWAl NejmehAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.48 1.25 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 35% Al Arabi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.24 | 2.86 | 2.03 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Arabi to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Al Arabi price at 2.38, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have Al Nejmeh longest at 2.86.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.03 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Al Arabi or Al Nejmeh (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Arabi, full-time Al Arabi
21% chance4.67fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh prediction
Our Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh prediction and pick
The Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. AFC Challenge League on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Al Arabi a 35% chance, Al Nejmeh 34% and the draw 31%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Al Arabi are expected to score 1.25 and Al Nejmeh 1.23, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Al Arabi or Al Nejmeh (no draw) is the main selection, rated 69%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 69% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Al Arabi have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Al Nejmeh 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.
A low-scoring Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Al Arabi find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Al Nejmeh in 71%. Al Arabi keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Al Nejmeh 29%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 1-0 (10.5%) and 0-1 (10.3%).
With the top scoreline at 12.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Arabi, full-time Al Arabi is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 31% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Al Arabi to win35%2.38
Draw31%3.24
Al Nejmeh to win34%2.86
Al Arabi, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Al Nejmeh, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Double chance
Al Arabi or draw66%1.37
Al Nejmeh or draw65%1.52
Al Arabi or Al Nejmeh (no draw)69%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.03
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%1.72
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.79
Not both teams to score48%1.92
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34
Team goals
Al Arabi to score71%fair 1.40
Al Nejmeh to score71%fair 1.41
Al Arabi clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Al Nejmeh clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Al Arabi to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Al Nejmeh to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-010.5%
0-110.3%
0-08.4%
2-18%
1-27.9%
Half-time / full-time
Al Arabi / Al Arabi21.4%
Al Nejmeh / Al Nejmeh20.8%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Al Arabi13.5%
Draw / Al Nejmeh13.2%
Questions about Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh
Who is favourite in Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh?
The model gives Al Arabi the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Al Arabi find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Al Nejmeh in 71%.
When do Al Arabi play Al Nejmeh?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.