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J2 League Round 14 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Tochigi CityHomeLDDLL
1:3Half-time 1:1
IwakiAwayWWDDW
362539
Tochigi City winDrawIwaki win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.13
1.52 : 1.61
Favourite
40%
Iwaki
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Tochigi City vs Iwaki

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.583.522.241.532.291.472.47Bet
22Bet2.643.522.461.542.381.502.50Bet
BC.Game2.583.602.381.562.301.462.44Bet
Betwinner2.643.522.461.542.381.502.50Bet
Melbet2.643.522.461.542.381.502.50Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Iwaki to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Tochigi City vs Iwaki are 2.64 for Tochigi City at Betwinner, 3.60 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.46 for Iwaki at Betwinner.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.56 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.38 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.50 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Tochigi City or Iwaki (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.52 : 1.61-4.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.56
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Iwaki, full-time Iwaki
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Tochigi City vs Iwaki prediction

Tochigi City vs Iwaki prediction, who wins and at what price

Tochigi City vs Iwaki prediction for the J2 League on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, Tochigi City 36%, draw 25%, Iwaki 40%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 1.52 to Tochigi City and 1.61 to Iwaki. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 64%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Tochigi City vs Iwaki is tochigi City or Iwaki (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 22Bet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tochigi City vs Iwaki.

Form check: Tochigi City have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 10 conceded, Iwaki 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.

Goals forecast for Tochigi City vs Iwaki with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Tochigi City vs Iwaki reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.56 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 64%: Tochigi City find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Iwaki in 80%. Tochigi City keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Iwaki 22%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tochigi City vs Iwaki: 1-1 (10.7%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.1%).

With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tochigi City vs Iwaki; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Iwaki, full-time Iwaki is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market rated for Tochigi City vs Iwaki

The grid built from 1.52 and 1.61 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Tochigi City to win36%2.64
Draw25%3.60
Iwaki to win40%2.46
Tochigi City, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Iwaki, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

Tochigi City or draw60%1.51
Iwaki or draw64%1.45
Tochigi City or Iwaki (no draw)75%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.56
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.38
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.50
Not both teams to score36%2.50

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Tochigi City to score78%fair 1.28
Iwaki to score80%fair 1.25
Tochigi City clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Iwaki clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Tochigi City to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Iwaki to win to nil20%fair 4.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%
0-17%
1-06.6%
2-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Iwaki / Iwaki24.2%
Tochigi City / Tochigi City21.5%
Draw / Iwaki13.2%
Draw / Draw12.9%
Draw / Tochigi City12.1%

Questions about Tochigi City vs Iwaki

Who is favourite in Tochigi City vs Iwaki?

The model gives Iwaki the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Tochigi City vs Iwaki correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Tochigi City vs Iwaki?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Tochigi City find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Iwaki in 80%.

What time does Tochigi City vs Iwaki kick off?

Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Tochigi City v IwakiTochigi City or Iwaki (no draw), 75%
1.27Bet