Serie C - Girone C
CrotoneHomeLLDLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
CasaranoAwayLLDLW442729
Crotone winDrawCasarano win
CrotoneHomeLLDLLCasaranoAwayLLDLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.55 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 44% Crotone
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Crotone vs Casarano
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.34 | 3.08 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.62 | 2.12 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.34 | 3.21 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.15 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.34 | 3.21 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.34 | 3.21 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Crotone to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Crotone price at 2.10, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.34 and 22Bet have Casarano longest at 3.21.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.79 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Crotone or Casarano (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Crotone, full-time Crotone
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Crotone vs Casarano odds movement
Crotone win2.10-0.10
Draw3.34-0.16
Casarano win3.21unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.79-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.93-0.09
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Crotone vs Casarano prediction
Crotone vs Casarano prediction and best bet
The Crotone vs Casarano prediction leans to Crotone: 44% against 29% for Casarano, with 27% left for the draw, in the Serie C - Girone C on Monday, 26 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.55 for Crotone and 1.22 for Casarano, a total of 2.77, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Crotone or Casarano (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at BC.Game, which implies 79%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Crotone vs Casarano.
Crotone average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Casarano 0.6 and 1.6 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Crotone vs Casarano
On the goal lines Crotone vs Casarano reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; Melbet pay 1.79.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Crotone scoring in 79% of runs and Casarano in 71%; clean sheets come at 30% for Crotone and 21% for Casarano.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 1-0 at 9.7% and 2-1 at 9.2%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Crotone, full-time Crotone leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Crotone vs Casarano
The grid built from 1.55 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Crotone to win44%2.10
Draw27%3.34
Casarano to win29%3.21
Crotone, draw no bet60%fair 1.66
Casarano, draw no bet40%fair 2.53
Double chance
Crotone or draw71%1.28
Casarano or draw56%1.64
Crotone or Casarano (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.79
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%1.93
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.65
Not both teams to score44%2.12
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Crotone to score79%fair 1.27
Casarano to score71%fair 1.42
Crotone clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Casarano clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Crotone to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Casarano to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-09.7%
2-19.2%
0-17.6%
2-07.5%
1-27.2%
Half-time / full-time
Crotone / Crotone27.2%
Casarano / Casarano17.2%
Draw / Crotone15.2%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / Casarano10.9%
Questions about Crotone vs Casarano
Crotone or Casarano: which side does the model back?
The model gives Crotone the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Crotone vs Casarano?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Crotone vs Casarano?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Crotone find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Casarano in 71%.
What time does Crotone vs Casarano kick off?
Crotone vs Casarano starts at 19:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.