SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola prediction

Our SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola prediction and pick

The SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives SS Monopoli a 34% chance, Audace Cerignola 32% and the draw 35%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.26 for SS Monopoli and 1.23 for Audace Cerignola, a total of 2.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola is sS Monopoli or draw, a 68% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

SS Monopoli average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Audace Cerignola 1.6 and 0.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola

Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.73 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 52%: SS Monopoli find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Audace Cerignola in 71%. SS Monopoli keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Audace Cerignola 28%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 1-0 (10.4%) and 0-1 (10.2%).

With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time SS Monopoli, full-time SS Monopoli leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.