AZ Picerno vs Salernitana prediction

AZ Picerno vs Salernitana prediction, who wins and at what price

AZ Picerno vs Salernitana prediction for the Serie C - Girone C on Monday, 26 October 2026: the model makes Salernitana marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 31% and AZ Picerno at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.21 for AZ Picerno and 1.57 for Salernitana, a total of 2.78, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Salernitana or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.30 with 22Bet the market prices it at 77%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AZ Picerno vs Salernitana.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Form check: AZ Picerno have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, Salernitana 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for AZ Picerno vs Salernitana

On the goal lines AZ Picerno vs Salernitana reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.89.

Both teams to score is 57%: AZ Picerno find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Salernitana in 79%. AZ Picerno keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Salernitana 30%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 9.7% and 1-2 at 9.3%.

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AZ Picerno vs Salernitana; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Salernitana, full-time Salernitana is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.