Skip to the predictions
Live 25 UTC
Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 11 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
CataniaHomeWWLWL
6:0Half-time 3:0
GiuglianoAwayLLWLW
711811
Catania winDrawGiugliano win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.02
2.25 : 0.77
Favourite
71%
Catania
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Catania vs Giugliano

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.284.708.701.682.021.991.70Bet
22Bet1.404.397.841.692.102.021.74Bet
BC.Game1.344.507.801.702.041.951.71Bet
Betwinner1.404.397.841.692.102.021.74Bet
Melbet1.284.708.751.682.021.991.71Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Catania to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Catania price at 1.40, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.70 and Melbet have Giugliano longest at 8.75.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.10 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Betwinner) and no 1.74 (Betwinner).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

71%

Our prediction

Catania to win
BankerExpected goals 2.25 : 0.77-1% against the best price
Double chanceCatania or draw
89% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Catania, full-time Catania
48% chance2.10fair

Catania vs Giugliano odds movement

Catania win1.40unchanged
Draw4.70unchanged
Giugliano win8.75-0.25
Over 2.5 goals1.70-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.10unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Catania vs Giugliano prediction

Catania vs Giugliano prediction and best bet

Catania host Giugliano on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Serie C - Girone C, and the model has Catania at 71%, the draw at 18% and Giugliano at 11%: that is the Catania vs Giugliano prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.02 in total, split 2.25 to Catania and 0.77 to Giugliano. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 49%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Catania to win is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.40 with 22Bet the market prices it at 71%, against 71% from the model.

For a safer line, catania or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.06.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Catania average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Giugliano 0.8 and 2.6 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Catania vs Giugliano

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.70 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Catania scoring in 90% of runs and Giugliano in 54%; clean sheets come at 46% for Catania and 11% for Giugliano.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 9.5%.

With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Catania vs Giugliano; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Catania, full-time Catania leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Catania vs Giugliano

The grid built from 2.25 and 0.77 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Catania to win71%1.40
Draw18%4.70
Giugliano to win11%8.75
Catania, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Giugliano, draw no bet13%fair 7.46

Double chance

Catania or draw89%1.06
Giugliano or draw29%3.06
Catania or Giugliano (no draw)82%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.10
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56

BTTS

Both teams to score49%2.02
Not both teams to score52%1.74

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Catania to score90%fair 1.12
Giugliano to score54%fair 1.86
Catania clean sheet46%fair 2.16
Giugliano clean sheet11%fair 9.52
Catania to win to nil43%fair 2.35
Giugliano to win to nil10%fair 10.31

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012.4%
1-011%
2-19.5%
3-09.3%
1-18.5%
3-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

Catania / Catania47.7%
Draw / Catania20.2%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Giugliano / Giugliano6%
Draw / Giugliano4.5%

Questions about Catania vs Giugliano

Who will win Catania vs Giugliano?

The model gives Catania the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Catania vs Giugliano?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Catania vs Giugliano both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Catania find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Giugliano in 54%.

When is Catania vs Giugliano and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Catania v GiuglianoCatania to win, 71%
1.40Bet