Serie C - Girone C
PotenzaHomeWWWDW
4:2Half-time 0:2
CrotoneAwayLLDLL582418
Potenza winDrawCrotone win
PotenzaHomeWWWDWCrotoneAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.08 1.99 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 58% Potenza
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Potenza vs Crotone
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.52 | 4.51 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.59 | 2.17 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.83 | 3.59 | 4.12 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.76 | 3.45 | 4.10 | 1.65 | 2.12 | 1.59 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.76 | 3.30 | 4.22 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.83 | 3.59 | 4.12 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Potenza to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Potenza vs Crotone prediction: Potenza 1.83 (Melbet), draw 3.59 (Melbet), Crotone 4.51 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (22Bet) and no 2.21 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
58%
Our prediction
Potenza to win
Double chancePotenza or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Potenza, full-time Potenza
37% chance2.68fairLost
Potenza vs Crotone odds movement
Potenza win1.83unchanged
Draw3.59-0.21
Crotone win4.51unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.69unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.13-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Potenza vs Crotone prediction
Our Potenza vs Crotone prediction and pick
The Potenza vs Crotone prediction leans to Potenza: 58% against 19% for Crotone, with 24% left for the draw, in the Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.99 for Potenza and 1.09 for Crotone, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Potenza vs Crotone is potenza to win, a 58% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.83 at Melbet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.
That gap is worth 4.9% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Potenza or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.21.
Over the last 5 matches Potenza stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Crotone show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Potenza vs Crotone
Under 2.5 goals is rated 41% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 59%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 22Bet pay 1.69.
Both teams to score is 58%: Potenza find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Crotone in 66%. Potenza keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Crotone 14%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, followed by 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Potenza vs Crotone; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Potenza, full-time Potenza leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Potenza vs Crotone
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Potenza vs Crotone, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Potenza to win58%1.83
Draw24%3.59
Crotone to win19%4.51
Potenza, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Crotone, draw no bet25%fair 4.03
Double chance
Potenza or draw81%1.21
Crotone or draw43%1.98
Potenza or Crotone (no draw)77%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.70
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 2.5 goals41%2.13
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.68
Not both teams to score42%2.21
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.48
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23
Team goals
Potenza to score86%fair 1.16
Crotone to score66%fair 1.51
Potenza clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Crotone clean sheet14%fair 7.30
Potenza to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Crotone to win to nil13%fair 7.94
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
2-19.9%
1-09.1%
2-09.1%
3-16.6%
3-06%
Half-time / full-time
Potenza / Potenza37.3%
Draw / Potenza17.7%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Crotone / Crotone11.3%
Draw / Crotone7.5%
Questions about Potenza vs Crotone
Who will win Potenza vs Crotone?
The model gives Potenza the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Potenza vs Crotone correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.
Potenza vs Crotone both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Potenza find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Crotone in 66%.
When is Potenza vs Crotone and where is the result shown?
Potenza vs Crotone starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.