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Serie C - Girone B Girone B - 11 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
SambenedetteseHomeWDDWL
2:1Half-time 2:0
LivornoAwayLDDLW
402535
Sambenedettese winDrawLivorno win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.96
1.53 : 1.43
Favourite
40%
Sambenedettese
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Sambenedettese vs Livorno

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

76%

Our prediction

Sambenedettese or Livorno (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.53 : 1.43
1.32fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sambenedettese, full-time Sambenedettese
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Sambenedettese vs Livorno prediction

Our Sambenedettese vs Livorno prediction and pick

Sambenedettese vs Livorno prediction for the Serie C - Girone B on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Sambenedettese 40%, draw 25%, Livorno 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Sambenedettese are expected to score 1.53 and Livorno 1.43, so the total line is 2.96 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Sambenedettese or Livorno (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches Sambenedettese stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Livorno show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Sambenedettese vs Livorno? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Sambenedettese vs Livorno reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. Sambenedettese score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Livorno; Livorno score in 76% while Sambenedettese shut them out 24% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sambenedettese, full-time Sambenedettese is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

All markets, Sambenedettese vs Livorno

The grid built from 1.53 and 1.43 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sambenedettese to win40%fair 2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08
Livorno to win36%fair 2.82
Sambenedettese, draw no bet53%fair 1.89
Livorno, draw no bet47%fair 2.13

Double chance

Sambenedettese or draw65%fair 1.55
Livorno or draw60%fair 1.67
Sambenedettese or Livorno (no draw)76%fair 1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score60%fair 1.68
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.47

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Sambenedettese to score78%fair 1.28
Livorno to score76%fair 1.31
Sambenedettese clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Livorno clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Sambenedettese to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Livorno to win to nil20%fair 5.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%
1-07.9%
0-17.4%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Sambenedettese / Sambenedettese23.9%
Livorno / Livorno21%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Draw / Sambenedettese13.4%
Draw / Livorno12.2%

Questions about Sambenedettese vs Livorno

Who will win Sambenedettese vs Livorno?

The model gives Sambenedettese the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Sambenedettese vs Livorno correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Sambenedettese vs Livorno?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Sambenedettese find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Livorno in 76%.

When do Sambenedettese play Livorno?

Sambenedettese vs Livorno starts at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sambenedettese v LivornoSambenedettese or Livorno (no draw), 76%
1.32fair