Pineto vs Gubbio prediction

Our Pineto vs Gubbio prediction and pick

Pineto vs Gubbio prediction for the Serie C - Girone B on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Pineto a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 27% and Gubbio at 21%.

The goal expectancy is 2.45 in total, split 1.55 to Pineto and 0.90 to Gubbio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Pineto to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.75 with 1xBet the market prices it at 57%, against 52% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Pineto vs Gubbio.

Pineto or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.15.

Form check: Pineto have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 3 conceded, Gubbio 0 of 5 scoring 1 and conceding 8.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pineto vs Gubbio

Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.64.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Pineto score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Gubbio; Gubbio score in 59% while Pineto shut them out 41% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.4%, then 1-1 at 12% and 2-0 at 10.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Pineto, full-time Pineto leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.