Serie C - Girone B
Ostia MareHomeDDLLL
1:2Half-time 0:0
VadoAwayWWDWD472825
Ostia Mare winDrawVado win
Ostia MareHomeDDLLLVadoAwayWWDWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.51 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 47% Ostia Mare
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Ostia Mare vs Vado odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.38 | 3.53 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.71 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ostia Mare to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Ostia Mare vs Vado prediction: Ostia Mare 1.89 (1xBet), draw 3.38 (1xBet), Vado 3.53 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.84 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Ostia Mare or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ostia Mare, full-time Ostia Mare
29% chance3.47fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Ostia Mare vs Vado odds movement
Ostia Mare win1.89-0.13
Draw3.38-0.02
Vado win3.53-0.20
Over 2.5 goals1.84-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Ostia Mare vs Vado prediction
Ostia Mare vs Vado prediction and best bet
Ostia Mare are marginally ahead in the Ostia Mare vs Vado prediction, rated 47% to win this Serie C - Girone B match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Vado sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.51 for Ostia Mare and 1.06 for Vado, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Ostia Mare or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at 1xBet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Ostia Mare average 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Vado 1.8 and 1.0 across 5.
How many goals in Ostia Mare vs Vado? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.83.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Ostia Mare score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Vado; Vado score in 65% while Ostia Mare shut them out 35% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ostia Mare vs Vado: 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Ostia Mare, full-time Ostia Mare is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Ostia Mare vs Vado
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ostia Mare vs Vado, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Ostia Mare to win47%1.89
Draw28%3.38
Vado to win25%3.53
Ostia Mare, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Vado, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Double chance
Ostia Mare or draw75%1.21
Vado or draw53%1.73
Ostia Mare or Vado (no draw)72%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.84
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.71
Not both teams to score48%1.98
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Ostia Mare to score78%fair 1.28
Vado to score65%fair 1.53
Ostia Mare clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Vado clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Ostia Mare to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Vado to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-011.6%
2-19.2%
2-08.7%
0-18.1%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Ostia Mare / Ostia Mare28.8%
Draw / Ostia Mare16.4%
Draw / Draw16%
Vado / Vado14.9%
Draw / Vado10.1%
Questions about Ostia Mare vs Vado
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Vado?
The model gives Ostia Mare the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Ostia Mare vs Vado correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Ostia Mare vs Vado?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Ostia Mare find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Vado in 65%.
What time does Ostia Mare vs Vado kick off?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.