Serie C - Girone B
LivornoHomeLDDLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Ostia MareAwayDDLLL522523
Livorno winDrawOstia Mare win
LivornoHomeLDDLWOstia MareAwayDDLLL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.88 1.77 : 1.11
- Favourite
- 52% Livorno
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Livorno vs Ostia Mare betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.48 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.78 | 3.66 | 4.28 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.81 | 3.45 | 3.90 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.68 | 1.99 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.78 | 3.66 | 4.28 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.89 | 3.56 | 3.87 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Livorno to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Livorno vs Ostia Mare prediction: Livorno 1.89 (Melbet), draw 3.66 (22Bet), Ostia Mare 4.28 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.00 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
Livorno to win
Double chanceLivorno or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Livorno, full-time Livorno
33% chance3.03fairLost
Livorno vs Ostia Mare odds movement
Livorno win1.89unchanged
Draw3.66-0.08
Ostia Mare win4.28unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.81unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.00-0.14
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Livorno vs Ostia Mare prediction
Livorno vs Ostia Mare prediction and best bet
The Livorno vs Ostia Mare prediction leans to Livorno: 52% against 23% for Ostia Mare, with 25% left for the draw, in the Serie C - Girone B on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 1.77 to Livorno and 1.11 to Ostia Mare. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Livorno vs Ostia Mare is livorno to win, a 52% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.89 at Melbet, which implies 53%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Livorno or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.23.
Livorno average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Ostia Mare 0.4 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Livorno vs Ostia Mare
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; Betwinner pay 1.81.
Both teams to score is 55%: Livorno find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Ostia Mare in 67%. Livorno keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Ostia Mare 17%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Livorno vs Ostia Mare: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Livorno vs Ostia Mare; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Livorno, full-time Livorno is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market rated for Livorno vs Ostia Mare
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 25% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Livorno to win52%1.89
Draw25%3.66
Ostia Mare to win23%4.28
Livorno, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Ostia Mare, draw no bet31%fair 3.24
Double chance
Livorno or draw77%1.23
Ostia Mare or draw48%1.97
Livorno or Ostia Mare (no draw)75%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%2.00
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.74
Not both teams to score45%2.05
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Livorno to score83%fair 1.20
Ostia Mare to score67%fair 1.49
Livorno clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Ostia Mare clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Livorno to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Ostia Mare to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111%
1-09.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.8%
0-16.2%
1-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
Livorno / Livorno33%
Draw / Livorno16.9%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Ostia Mare / Ostia Mare13.4%
Draw / Ostia Mare8.8%
Questions about Livorno vs Ostia Mare
Who will win Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
The model gives Livorno the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Livorno vs Ostia Mare?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Livorno find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Ostia Mare in 67%.
When do Livorno play Ostia Mare?
Livorno vs Ostia Mare starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.