Pergolettese vs Renate prediction

Our Pergolettese vs Renate prediction and pick

The Pergolettese vs Renate prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives Pergolettese a 38% chance, Renate 34% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.16 for Pergolettese and 1.09 for Renate, a total of 2.25, which puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 46%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is pergolettese or Renate (no draw) at 71%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Pergolettese have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 9 conceded, Renate 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pergolettese vs Renate

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 61% and under 3.5 is 81%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Pergolettese scoring in 69% of runs and Renate in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Pergolettese and 31% for Renate.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.3%, then 1-0 at 12.2% and 0-1 at 11.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Pergolettese, full-time Pergolettese leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.