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Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 13 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
AlcioneHomeDDWLW
Fri 6 Nov
LumezzaneAwayWDLLD
452431
Alcione winDrawLumezzane win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.96
1.64 : 1.32
Favourite
45%
Alcione
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Alcione vs Lumezzane

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

76%

Our prediction

Alcione or Lumezzane (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.64 : 1.32
1.32fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.76fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.69fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alcione, full-time Alcione
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Alcione vs Lumezzane prediction

Alcione vs Lumezzane prediction and best bet

Alcione vs Lumezzane prediction for the Serie C - Girone A on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model makes Alcione marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 24% and Lumezzane at 31%.

Expected goals are 1.64 for Alcione and 1.32 for Lumezzane, a total of 2.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Alcione or Lumezzane (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Alcione average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Lumezzane 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.

Alcione vs Lumezzane goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Alcione scoring in 81% of runs and Lumezzane in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Alcione and 19% for Lumezzane.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 2-1 at 9.2% and 1-0 at 8.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Alcione, full-time Alcione is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Alcione vs Lumezzane

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alcione vs Lumezzane, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Alcione to win45%fair 2.23
Draw24%fair 4.15
Lumezzane to win31%fair 3.23
Alcione, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Lumezzane, draw no bet41%fair 2.44

Double chance

Alcione or draw69%fair 1.45
Lumezzane or draw55%fair 1.81
Alcione or Lumezzane (no draw)76%fair 1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.69
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.45

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Alcione to score81%fair 1.24
Lumezzane to score73%fair 1.36
Alcione clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Lumezzane clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Alcione to win to nil25%fair 4.07
Lumezzane to win to nil18%fair 5.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.2%
1-08.5%
1-27.4%
2-07%
0-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Alcione / Alcione27.4%
Lumezzane / Lumezzane17.9%
Draw / Alcione14.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Lumezzane10.9%

Questions about Alcione vs Lumezzane

Alcione or Lumezzane: which side does the model back?

The model gives Alcione the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Alcione vs Lumezzane correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Alcione vs Lumezzane both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Alcione find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Lumezzane in 73%.

When is Alcione vs Lumezzane and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Alcione v LumezzaneAlcione or Lumezzane (no draw), 76%
1.32fair