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Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 13 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Desenzano CalvinaHomeDWWLL
Sun 8 Nov
OspitalettoAwayDWLLD
262846
Desenzano Calvina winDrawOspitaletto win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.29
0.94 : 1.35
Favourite
47%
Ospitaletto
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

74%

Our prediction

Ospitaletto or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.94 : 1.35
1.35fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.67fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.82fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ospitaletto, full-time Ospitaletto
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto prediction

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto prediction and best bet

Ospitaletto are marginally ahead in the Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto prediction, rated 47% to win this Serie C - Girone A match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Desenzano Calvina sit at 26% and the draw at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 2.29 in total, split 0.94 to Desenzano Calvina and 1.35 to Ospitaletto. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 45%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto is ospitaletto or draw, a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Over the last 5 matches Desenzano Calvina stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Ospitaletto show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto

On the goal lines Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Desenzano Calvina scoring in 61% of runs and Ospitaletto in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Desenzano Calvina and 39% for Ospitaletto.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto: 0-1 (13.7%), 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ospitaletto, full-time Ospitaletto leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 28% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Desenzano Calvina to win26%fair 3.86
Draw28%fair 3.62
Ospitaletto to win47%fair 2.15
Desenzano Calvina, draw no bet36%fair 2.79
Ospitaletto, draw no bet64%fair 1.56

Double chance

Desenzano Calvina or draw54%fair 1.87
Ospitaletto or draw74%fair 1.35
Desenzano Calvina or Ospitaletto (no draw)72%fair 1.38

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score45%fair 2.21
Not both teams to score55%fair 1.82

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40

Team goals

Desenzano Calvina to score61%fair 1.64
Ospitaletto to score74%fair 1.35
Desenzano Calvina clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Ospitaletto clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Desenzano Calvina to win to nil24%fair 4.20
Ospitaletto to win to nil36%fair 2.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113.7%
1-112.9%
0-010.1%
1-09.5%
0-29.2%
1-28.7%

Half-time / full-time

Ospitaletto / Ospitaletto27.4%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Draw / Ospitaletto16.7%
Desenzano Calvina / Desenzano Calvina14.4%
Draw / Desenzano Calvina10.4%

Questions about Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

The model gives Ospitaletto the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Desenzano Calvina find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Ospitaletto in 74%.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto and where is the result shown?

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Desenzano Calvina v OspitalettoOspitaletto or draw, 74%
1.35fair