Bnei Yehuda vs Ashdod prediction

Our Bnei Yehuda vs Ashdod prediction and pick

Bnei Yehuda host Ashdod on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the State Cup, and the model has Bnei Yehuda at 44%, the draw at 27% and Ashdod at 30%: that is the Bnei Yehuda vs Ashdod prediction in one line.

Bnei Yehuda are expected to score 1.60 and Ashdod 1.29, so the total line is 2.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Bnei Yehuda or Ashdod (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.29 with 22Bet the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Bnei Yehuda stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Ashdod show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Bnei Yehuda vs Ashdod goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Bnei Yehuda score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Ashdod; Ashdod score in 73% while Bnei Yehuda shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bnei Yehuda, full-time Bnei Yehuda leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.