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Live 25 UTC
State Cup Round of 64 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Beitar NahariyaHomeWL
1:3Half-time 0:2
Hapoel AfulaAwayWDLWW
582319
Beitar Nahariya winDrawHapoel Afula win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.77
1.83 : 0.94
Favourite
58%
Beitar Nahariya
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

58%

Our prediction

Beitar Nahariya to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.94
1.72fair
Double chanceBeitar Nahariya or draw
81% chance1.24fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.91fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.95fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Beitar Nahariya, full-time Beitar Nahariya
37% chance2.71fair

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula prediction

Our Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula prediction and pick

Beitar Nahariya are a narrow favourite in the Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula prediction, rated 58% to win this State Cup match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Hapoel Afula sit at 19% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.77 in total, split 1.83 to Beitar Nahariya and 0.94 to Hapoel Afula. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is beitar Nahariya to win at 58%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Beitar Nahariya or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance.

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Beitar Nahariya scoring in 84% of runs and Hapoel Afula in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Beitar Nahariya and 16% for Hapoel Afula.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.5%, then 1-1 at 10.8% and 2-0 at 10.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Beitar Nahariya, full-time Beitar Nahariya is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Beitar Nahariya to win58%fair 1.72
Draw23%fair 4.41
Hapoel Afula to win19%fair 5.21
Beitar Nahariya, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Hapoel Afula, draw no bet25%fair 4.03

Double chance

Beitar Nahariya or draw81%fair 1.24
Hapoel Afula or draw42%fair 2.39
Beitar Nahariya or Hapoel Afula (no draw)77%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%fair 1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score51%fair 1.95
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.05

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Beitar Nahariya to score84%fair 1.19
Hapoel Afula to score61%fair 1.64
Beitar Nahariya clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Hapoel Afula clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Beitar Nahariya to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Hapoel Afula to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.5%
1-110.8%
2-010.5%
2-19.9%
3-06.4%
0-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Beitar Nahariya / Beitar Nahariya36.9%
Draw / Beitar Nahariya18.5%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Hapoel Afula / Hapoel Afula10.4%
Draw / Hapoel Afula7.4%

Questions about Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula

Who is favourite in Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula?

The model gives Beitar Nahariya the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Beitar Nahariya find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Hapoel Afula in 61%.

What time does Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula kick off?

Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula starts at 15:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Beitar Nahariya v Hapoel AfulaBeitar Nahariya to win, 58%
1.72fair