Beitar NahariyaHomeWL
Hapoel AfulaAwayWDLWW
Beitar NahariyaHomeWL
Hapoel AfulaAwayWDLWWNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Beitar Nahariya are a narrow favourite in the Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula prediction, rated 58% to win this State Cup match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Hapoel Afula sit at 19% and the draw at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 2.77 in total, split 1.83 to Beitar Nahariya and 0.94 to Hapoel Afula. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is beitar Nahariya to win at 58%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Beitar Nahariya or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Beitar Nahariya scoring in 84% of runs and Hapoel Afula in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Beitar Nahariya and 16% for Hapoel Afula.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.5%, then 1-1 at 10.8% and 2-0 at 10.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Beitar Nahariya, full-time Beitar Nahariya is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Beitar Nahariya the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Beitar Nahariya find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Hapoel Afula in 61%.
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Afula starts at 15:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.