Iraqi League
Al ShortaHomeWDWDD
Sun 8 Nov
NaftAwayWWWDW403525
Al Shorta winDrawNaft win
Al ShortaHomeWDWDDNaftAwayWWWDW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.58 0.92 : 0.66
- Favourite
- 40% Al Shorta
- Over 2.5 goals
- 21% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 29% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Shorta vs Naft betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al Shorta vs Naft yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
75%
Our prediction
Al Shorta or draw
1.34fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
71% chance1.41fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
47% chance2.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
21% chance4.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
51% chance1.96fair
Al Shorta vs Naft prediction
Our Al Shorta vs Naft prediction and pick
Al Shorta host Naft on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Iraqi League, and the model has Al Shorta at 40%, the draw at 35% and Naft at 25%: that is the Al Shorta vs Naft prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.92 for Al Shorta and 0.66 for Naft, a total of 1.58, which puts over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams to score at 29%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is al Shorta or draw at 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Al Shorta average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Naft 1.2 and 0.0 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Al Shorta vs Naft
On the goal lines Al Shorta vs Naft reads 47% for over 1.5, 21% for over 2.5 and 8% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 79%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 79%.
BTTS yes stands at 29%. Al Shorta score in 60% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for Naft; Naft score in 48% while Al Shorta shut them out 52% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 20.6%, then 1-0 at 18.9% and 0-1 at 13.6%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 51%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Al Shorta vs Naft
The grid built from 0.92 and 0.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Shorta to win40%fair 2.53
Draw35%fair 2.84
Naft to win25%fair 3.97
Al Shorta, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Naft, draw no bet39%fair 2.57
Double chance
Al Shorta or draw75%fair 1.34
Naft or draw60%fair 1.66
Al Shorta or Naft (no draw)65%fair 1.54
Goals
Over 0.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 goals47%fair 2.13
Over 2.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 13.16
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 43.48
Under 1.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Under 2.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.08
BTTS
Both teams to score29%fair 3.45
Not both teams to score71%fair 1.41
Halves
First-half goal51%fair 1.96
Over 1.5 first-half goals16%fair 6.25
Second-half goal58%fair 1.72
Team goals
Al Shorta to score60%fair 1.66
Naft to score48%fair 2.07
Al Shorta clean sheet52%fair 1.93
Naft clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Al Shorta to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Naft to win to nil23%fair 4.31
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.09
Even number of goals52%fair 1.92
Most likely scores
0-020.6%
1-018.9%
0-113.6%
1-112.5%
2-08.7%
2-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw27.7%
Al Shorta / Al Shorta22.2%
Draw / Al Shorta16.6%
Naft / Naft13.2%
Draw / Naft11.1%
Questions about Al Shorta vs Naft
Who is favourite in Al Shorta vs Naft?
The model gives Al Shorta the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Al Shorta vs Naft?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 20.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 21%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Al Shorta vs Naft?
The BTTS yes line is rated 29%. Al Shorta find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Naft in 48%.
When do Al Shorta play Naft?
Al Shorta vs Naft starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.