Liga Nacional
CD MarathonHomeWWDDL
Mon 9 Nov
Atlético CholomaAwayWLWWL532621
CD Marathon winDrawAtlético Choloma win
CD MarathonHomeWWDDLAtlético CholomaAwayWLWWL- Kick-off Mon 9 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.39 1.54 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 53% CD Marathon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
CD Marathon to win
1.87fair
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.75fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.82fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon
33% chance3.05fair
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma prediction
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma prediction, who wins and at what price
CD Marathon are a narrow favourite in the CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma prediction, rated 53% to win this Liga Nacional match on Monday, 9 November 2026. Atlético Choloma sit at 21% and the draw at 26%.
CD Marathon are expected to score 1.54 and Atlético Choloma 0.85, so the total line is 2.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 45%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma is cD Marathon to win, a 53% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
CD Marathon or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance.
Over the last 5 matches CD Marathon stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Atlético Choloma show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%.
BTTS yes stands at 45%. CD Marathon score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Atlético Choloma; Atlético Choloma score in 57% while CD Marathon shut them out 43% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma: 1-0 (14.1%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10.9%).
With the top scoreline at 14.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
CD Marathon to win53%fair 1.87
Draw26%fair 3.89
Atlético Choloma to win21%fair 4.78
CD Marathon, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Atlético Choloma, draw no bet28%fair 3.56
Double chance
CD Marathon or draw79%fair 1.26
Atlético Choloma or draw47%fair 2.15
CD Marathon or Atlético Choloma (no draw)74%fair 1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%fair 2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals57%fair 1.75
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score45%fair 2.21
Not both teams to score55%fair 1.82
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
CD Marathon to score79%fair 1.27
Atlético Choloma to score57%fair 1.75
CD Marathon clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Atlético Choloma clean sheet21%fair 4.67
CD Marathon to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Atlético Choloma to win to nil19%fair 5.21
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.1%
1-112%
2-010.9%
2-19.2%
0-09.2%
0-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
CD Marathon / CD Marathon32.8%
Draw / CD Marathon18.5%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Atlético Choloma / Atlético Choloma11.3%
Draw / Atlético Choloma8.4%
Questions about CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma
Who is favourite in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
The model gives CD Marathon the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. CD Marathon find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Atlético Choloma in 57%.
When do CD Marathon play Atlético Choloma?
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma starts at 01:30 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.