Ligue 3
ValenciennesHomeLWLDL
Thu 5 Nov
OrleansAwayLDDLD432829
Valenciennes winDrawOrleans win
ValenciennesHomeLWLDLOrleansAwayLDDLD- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.61 1.45 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 43% Valenciennes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Valenciennes vs Orleans betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.20 | 3.14 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.11 | 3.20 | 3.14 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.11 | 3.20 | 3.14 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.11 | 3.20 | 3.14 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Valenciennes to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Valenciennes price at 2.11, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.20 and 1xBet have Orleans longest at 3.14.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.87 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (22Bet) and no 2.00 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Valenciennes or Orleans (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Valenciennes, full-time Valenciennes
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Valenciennes vs Orleans prediction
Valenciennes vs Orleans prediction and best bet
The Valenciennes vs Orleans prediction leans to Valenciennes: 43% against 29% for Orleans, with 28% left for the draw, in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.61 in total, split 1.45 to Valenciennes and 1.16 to Orleans. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is valenciennes or Orleans (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Valenciennes vs Orleans.
Over the last 5 matches Valenciennes stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Orleans show 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Valenciennes vs Orleans? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.80.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Valenciennes score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Orleans; Orleans score in 69% while Valenciennes shut them out 31% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%, followed by 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Valenciennes, full-time Valenciennes leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Valenciennes vs Orleans
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Valenciennes vs Orleans, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Valenciennes to win43%2.11
Draw28%3.20
Orleans to win29%3.14
Valenciennes, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Orleans, draw no bet41%fair 2.47
Double chance
Valenciennes or draw71%1.27
Orleans or draw57%1.58
Valenciennes or Orleans (no draw)72%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.87
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.80
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.71
Not both teams to score47%2.00
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Valenciennes to score77%fair 1.31
Orleans to score69%fair 1.46
Valenciennes clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Orleans clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Valenciennes to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Orleans to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-010.7%
2-19%
0-18.5%
2-07.7%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Valenciennes / Valenciennes26.1%
Orleans / Orleans17.2%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Draw / Valenciennes15.2%
Draw / Orleans11.2%
Questions about Valenciennes vs Orleans
Valenciennes or Orleans: which side does the model back?
The model gives Valenciennes the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Valenciennes vs Orleans?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Valenciennes vs Orleans?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Valenciennes find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Orleans in 69%.
When is Valenciennes vs Orleans and where is the result shown?
Valenciennes vs Orleans starts at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.