Skip to the predictions
Live 17 UTC
Ligue 3 Round 12 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Thionville LusitanosHomeDLLLD
Sat 7 Nov
CannesAwayDWLW
222553
Thionville Lusitanos winDrawCannes win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.74
1.03 : 1.71
Favourite
53%
Cannes
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet4.203.541.711.761.921.702.01Bet
Betwinner4.203.541.711.761.921.702.01Bet
Melbet4.203.541.711.761.921.702.01Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Cannes to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes prediction: Thionville Lusitanos 4.20 (22Bet), draw 3.54 (22Bet), Cannes 1.71 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.76 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.92 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Melbet) and no 2.01 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

53%

Our prediction

Cannes to win
StrongExpected goals 1.03 : 1.71-9.5% against the best price
Double chanceCannes or draw
78% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cannes, full-time Cannes
33% chance3.02fair

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes prediction

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes prediction, who wins and at what price

Thionville Lusitanos host Cannes on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Ligue 3, and the model has Cannes at 53%, the draw at 25% and Thionville Lusitanos at 22%: that is the Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.74 in total, split 1.03 to Thionville Lusitanos and 1.71 to Cannes. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes is cannes to win, a 53% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.71 at 22Bet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, cannes or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.15.

Thionville Lusitanos average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Cannes 1.5 and 1.0 across 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes

On the goal lines Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Thionville Lusitanos scoring in 64% of runs and Cannes in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Thionville Lusitanos and 36% for Cannes.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cannes, full-time Cannes leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes

The grid built from 1.03 and 1.71 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Thionville Lusitanos to win22%4.20
Draw25%3.54
Cannes to win53%1.71
Thionville Lusitanos, draw no bet30%fair 3.39
Cannes, draw no bet71%fair 1.42

Double chance

Thionville Lusitanos or draw47%1.92
Cannes or draw78%1.15
Thionville Lusitanos or Cannes (no draw)75%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.76
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Under 2.5 goals49%1.92
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.70
Not both teams to score46%2.01

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Thionville Lusitanos to score64%fair 1.56
Cannes to score82%fair 1.22
Thionville Lusitanos clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Cannes clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Thionville Lusitanos to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Cannes to win to nil33%fair 3.05

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
0-111%
1-29.7%
0-29.4%
1-06.7%
0-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Cannes / Cannes33.1%
Draw / Cannes17.4%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Thionville Lusitanos / Thionville Lusitanos12.7%
Draw / Thionville Lusitanos8.6%

Questions about Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes

Who is favourite in Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

The model gives Cannes the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Thionville Lusitanos find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Cannes in 82%.

When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Thionville Lusitanos v CannesCannes to win, 53%
1.71Bet