Ligue 3
CaenHomeLWLWD
Sat 7 Nov
VersaillesAwayDWWWW412633
Caen winDrawVersailles win
CaenHomeLWLWDVersaillesAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.01 1.58 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 41% Caen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Caen vs Versailles odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.29 | 3.34 | 2.62 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.29 | 3.34 | 2.62 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.29 | 3.34 | 2.62 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Caen to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Caen price at 2.29, Melbet lead the draw at 3.34 and Melbet have Versailles longest at 2.62.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.62 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.11 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (22Bet) and no 2.34 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Caen or Versailles (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Caen, full-time Caen
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Caen vs Versailles prediction
Caen vs Versailles prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Caen vs Versailles prediction for Saturday, 7 November 2026: 41% home, 26% draw and 34% away in the Ligue 3. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Caen are expected to score 1.58 and Versailles 1.43, so the total line is 3.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 62%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is caen or Versailles (no draw) at 74%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Caen vs Versailles.
Caen average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Versailles 1.8 and 0.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Caen vs Versailles
Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.62.
Both teams to score is 62%: Caen find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Versailles in 76%. Caen keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Versailles 21%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Caen, full-time Caen is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Caen vs Versailles
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Caen vs Versailles, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Caen to win41%2.29
Draw26%3.34
Versailles to win34%2.62
Caen, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Versailles, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Double chance
Caen or draw66%1.36
Versailles or draw60%1.47
Caen or Versailles (no draw)74%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.62
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals42%2.11
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.34
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Caen to score79%fair 1.26
Versailles to score76%fair 1.31
Caen clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Versailles clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Caen to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Versailles to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-18.8%
1-28%
1-07.8%
0-17%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Caen / Caen24.8%
Versailles / Versailles20.4%
Draw / Caen13.7%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Versailles11.9%
Questions about Caen vs Versailles
Caen or Versailles: which side does the model back?
The model gives Caen the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Caen vs Versailles?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Caen vs Versailles both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Caen find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Versailles in 76%.
What time does Caen vs Versailles kick off?
Caen vs Versailles starts at 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.