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Live 11 UTC
Ligue 3 Round 12 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
AubagneHomeLWLLL
Sat 7 Nov
AmiensAwayWDWDD
222652
Aubagne winDrawAmiens win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.50
0.92 : 1.58
Favourite
52%
Amiens
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for Aubagne vs Amiens

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet3.983.421.781.891.781.801.89Bet
Betwinner3.983.421.781.891.781.801.89Bet
Melbet3.983.421.781.891.781.801.89Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Amiens to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Aubagne vs Amiens prediction: Aubagne 3.98 (22Bet), draw 3.42 (22Bet), Amiens 1.78 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.78 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (Betwinner) and no 1.89 (Betwinner).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

52%

Our prediction

Amiens to win
StrongExpected goals 0.92 : 1.58-6.9% against the best price
Double chanceAmiens or draw
79% chance1.17
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.78
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.89
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Amiens, full-time Amiens
32% chance3.09fair

Aubagne vs Amiens prediction

Aubagne vs Amiens prediction, who wins and at what price

Aubagne host Amiens on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Ligue 3, and the model has Amiens at 52%, the draw at 26% and Aubagne at 22%: that is the Aubagne vs Amiens prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.92 for Aubagne and 1.58 for Amiens, a total of 2.50, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is amiens to win at 52%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.78. That price implies 56%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, amiens or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.17.

Form check: Aubagne have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 10 conceded, Amiens 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 3.

Aubagne vs Amiens goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.78.

Both teams to score is 49%: Aubagne find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Amiens in 79%. Aubagne keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Amiens 40%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 13%, then 1-1 at 11.9% and 0-2 at 10.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Amiens, full-time Amiens is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

Every market rated for Aubagne vs Amiens

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 26% / 52% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Aubagne to win22%3.98
Draw26%3.42
Amiens to win52%1.78
Aubagne, draw no bet29%fair 3.44
Amiens, draw no bet71%fair 1.41

Double chance

Aubagne or draw48%1.84
Amiens or draw79%1.17
Aubagne or Amiens (no draw)74%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%1.89
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.78
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.80
Not both teams to score51%1.89

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34

Team goals

Aubagne to score60%fair 1.66
Amiens to score79%fair 1.26
Aubagne clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Amiens clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Aubagne to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Amiens to win to nil37%fair 2.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-113%
1-111.9%
0-210.2%
1-29.4%
0-08.2%
1-07.6%

Half-time / full-time

Amiens / Amiens32.4%
Draw / Amiens18%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Aubagne / Aubagne12%
Draw / Aubagne8.7%

Questions about Aubagne vs Amiens

Aubagne or Amiens: which side does the model back?

The model gives Amiens the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Aubagne vs Amiens correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Aubagne vs Amiens?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Aubagne find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Amiens in 79%.

What time does Aubagne vs Amiens kick off?

Aubagne vs Amiens starts at 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Aubagne v AmiensAmiens to win, 52%
1.78Bet